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Tuesday, April 12, 2022

Democrats may become a one-race party


Back when he was with the Washington Post in 2014, Chris Cillizza, "Republicans have a major demographic problem. And it’s only going to get worse."

His argument was one prevalent in the pre-Trump era of politics. Pundits believed that as the nation becomes less white, Democrats will rise because they appeal to blacks and Hispanics.

He wrote, "The math isn't complicated.  Winning 27% of the Hispanic vote and 6% of the African American vote -- as Romney did in 2012 -- makes it hard to win a majority of the overall vote when those groups represent 10% and 13% of the electorate, respectively. If Hispanics grow to 20% of the electorate by 2024 or 2028 and the Republican presidential nominee performs roughly equivalent to Romney's 2012 showing, it will be impossible -- or damn close to impossible -- for that GOP nominee to win a national majority."

There were four problems with his assumptions.

The first was that all Hispanics are the same. Latin America encompasses nearly two dozen countries. As socialism takes hold in them, capitalists flee. Cubans in Florida are largely Republican. Refugees from Venezuela likely will be. Democrat cries for open borders turn off Hispanic voters along the Texas border. 

The second problem was the question: Are Hispanics not white?

Increasingly they act more like Italians and Poles, who while proud of their heritage identify as white.

The third problem was who says Hispanics belong to Democrats? A CBS poll found job approval for Biden was 35% among whites, 46% among Hispanics and 67% among blacks. 

That resulted in 42% approval/58% disapproval for Biden.

Democrats cannot defeat Republicans with only 42% of the vote.

Finally, no matter how many non-whites there are in this country, Democrats will still need white guilt to put them over the top.

White guilt has a shelf life. Americans cut slack for the first black president because, well, he was the first black president. But the second guy will have to prove himself. And black people seeking lesser offices are not being cut slack because the first black governor pales compared to the first black president.

A good example is the Iowa governor's race. Deirdre DeJear is the lone Democrat candidate. She is black, which is nice. She also is a socialist, which isn't.

AP reported, "She is struggling to translate her lower-wattage fame into support from voters. Only 31% of likely Iowa voters said they know enough about DeJear — running unopposed in the June 7 primary — to form an opinion, according to The Des Moines Register’s Iowa Poll, conducted in late February and early March.

"Meanwhile, she posted an anemic $8,500 fundraising balance in January, raising less than $300,000 since announcing her candidacy in August. It paled next to Republican incumbent Gov. Kim Reynolds’ $4.8 million balance and $3.8 million in contributions."

AP said the problem is not that DeJear is an inexperienced candidate who at 36 has never held public office. No, no, no. It is because she is a black woman. And AP got someone to say it. AP reported, "Story County Democrat Barb Wheelock attributed part of DeJear’s struggle to racism, both inside the party and among the state’s voters."

Well, if someone in Story County (population 98,537) says something, she speaks for the whole state.

AP 's story was a follow-up of Rekha Basu's column in the Des Moines Register on February 22.

Basu asked, "Deidre DeJear hits the right notes for Democrats, but where's their support?"

The columnist pointed to a speech she gave in Des Moines, which Basu praised.

Then she wrote, "But where was everyone?"

Maybe Democrats realize that Republican Governor Kim Reynolds is doing too good a job to take her on. No one else in their party is running.

In dismissing Republicans as too white, Cillizza missed the possibility that Democrats may become too black. 

While demographics show the non-Hispanic white population is shrinking, the black population stagnates. By promoting only black candidates, Democrats run the risk of turning off non-black voters.

Meanwhile, black Democrat voters are demanding their day in the spotlight. In a racially charged party, that is a problem.

Good luck balancing that, Democrats.

On top of that, Democrat policies hurt black people -- according to Al Sharpton.

Dan Bongino reported, "While a panel discussed the Democrats’ strategy heading into the 2022 midterms, Sharpton chimed in 'just remember, all this happened when the Democrats were in power. You told us to put you in power, we put you in power, and now I can’t afford the life I’m living. You’ve got to tell me how you’re going to deal with that, because I put you in power to understand me, not to preach to me.'"

Bongino has the tape.

Republicans must resist pandering. That is backfiring on Democrats. Republicans are better off sticking to the issues of liberty, opportunity and making America great again. In 2016, those issues reversed the Romney-McCain string of losses.


  1. Good column, Don. Republicans don't need to pander. They need to do their job. Stick to making America Great Again. Even though I am not an American voter, I am repulsed by the Democrats, as I am repulsed by the Liberals and NDP in Canada. Voters really need to think about their votes the next time round and vote in their real interests instead of ticking a box. There's a lot at stake in both countries. Overall, I think the Democrats have overplayed their hand but it's going to take voters to confirm it.

  2. Add to the list India Indians and Asians that are being rejected for being too smart and successful and the democrats have painted themselves into a corner. Democrats may now corner the market on TV commercial actors, but that isn’t going to help them win the vote.

  3. It says a lot that in a 95% white state the Dems have to dig for a black candidate for governor. The days of Dem dominance in Iowa via Vilsack, Harkin, Hughes, Clark, Mezvinsky, et al. are long gone.

  4. Thomas Frank, the author of "What's the Matter With Kansas?" has been fruitlessly making this argument for nearly two decades. He's been urging Dems to ditch the social engineering and get back to their working class roots. So far, they've ignored him. (Of course, he could never bring himself to admit that Trump was the candidate he was waiting for.....)

  5. Real issue is it's clear diversity hires do not mean quality. Zippy was the perfect example. 8 years, thanks to at least 1 stolen election, of him was all people needed to take a flyer on a guy named Trump.

    Kizzy and Chlamydia are fast proving this.

    PS Most of the uproar over Dr Oz appears to be from the Jeb! wing of the party, so take Jeffery's faux outrage with a grain of Lot.

    1. Oz is a RINO. At least that is what he has written and he has spoken. He needs to go.

    2. E., honest question from a lurker: who or what is Jeffery? Thanks for an explanation.

  6. Read the book years ago, I agree.

  7. I would clarify their support as primarily white and black college educated women, often single, with worthless degrees offering no financial benefit and forcing them to depend on uncle sugar.

    Support among hispanics is cratering. Support among black men is getting a bit loose. The great demographic replacement project the dems banked on for 70 years assumed they wouldn't go full stupid. They went full stupid. And Disney is going to see just how stupid the dems are. Losing copyright protection for the Mouse just destroys them. And I read the other day that Apple's full on embrace of Chinese manufacturing may cost them the company within the next decade. China is so over.

  8. PA may become an example of that. We have a Black Woman Kathy Barnette running for Senator and she's got a real good chance to make it if she can get past the primary next month. Trump's endorsement is not going over well out here in the hunting part of the state. Barnette is a native and has shown in the past that she's on board more with MAGA than OZ ever was or would be.

  9. I am wondering what happened in Shanghai.Full lockdown people rounded up, pets killed.People starved. Rather than COVID-what about an uprising?
    no one seems curious.

  10. Happening in my home town as we speak.
    A tale of two churches: One-a Evangelical,bible believeing church-with school. the other a mainstream, woke, wishy washy congregation.
    both are neighbors. guess wich one has a full
    parking lot on Sunday-and when the weather's good-afull playground.

  11. I'm not quite sure what an Hispanic is. But I grew up in Chicago in the 50's-60's and Chicagoans, at that time, considered Mexicans to be white.

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