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Thursday, January 20, 2022

Midterm blowout: Republicans have a 13-point lead

The Trafalgar Group is very accurate in its polling. It found 55.7% of voters prefer a Republican candidate in the upcoming congressional races. 42.2% prefer a Democrat.

Let me put that in perspective.

Remember the 2010 congressional races when the Tea Party flipped 63 seats for Republicans, which gave them their largest majority in decades?

Republicans received 51.7% of the votes overall. Democrats got 44.9%. That was a 6.8-point gap.

This is a 13.5-point gap. For those who have to take off their shoes to count past 10, that is double the gap of 2010.

The 1994 gap was also 6.8-points.

You have to go back to 1946 -- when Republicans gained 55 seats to end 16 years of Democrat rule -- to find a bigger gap.

8.5 points.

Steve Bannon was not talking out of his hat when he said Republicans could flip 100 seats this year

Could.

The Real Clear Politics average of polls put the gap at 4.1 points. 

This could have staying power because Gallup reported there is a 5-point gap in favor of Republicans in how people identify themselves. A year ago, Democrats had a 9-point advantage.

That was a 14-point swing in one year.

We all know the reason. Biden. He has had the worst first year of a presidency since William Harrison died a month after his inauguration in 1841. He too had a goofball vice president named John Tyler.

Biden surrendered Afghanistan and left $80 billion worth of military equipment -- and thousands of Americans -- behind. Biden adopted inflation as his economic policy, which helps the rich as the stock market soars but hurts the poor as wages cannot keep up. And Biden blew covid. More people died under him than under Trump -- and Trump had no vaccines for most of his presidency.

Gallup reported, "20% think pandemic is improving, 22% staying same, 58% getting worse."

Jimmy Carter 2.0?

Don't be foolish.

This is Herbert Hoover II.

My next post will be at 5 PM Eastern.

58 comments:

  1. It will take unflagging vigilance to stop the Democrat cheaters and crooks.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yeeeeeaaaaahhhhhh......
      Lessee, a record turnout for both candidates in the middle of the pandemic, magically changing vote counts at 3a.m. (note to Dan the rino Chrenshaw: the election WAS stolen), more people voting than are registered, more absentee votes returned than sent out....
      A midterm blowout, Don?
      I wouldn't count my chickens just yet.

      Delete
    2. I worry about cheating. Then I worry about Republicans actually coming together to get anything done. Too early to be talking about victory. After all, Republicans are the stupid party.

      Delete
    3. Absolutley agree with the two comments above. Too many people think its a slam dunk with the repubs winning everywhere. This completely disregards the brazen, in your face election fraud of 2020, and the dems already planning on their friends in corrupt Marxist media pushing the congress elections were "stolen" by the repubs headline!!

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    4. Right. Bet on a Repub(Triple A club of the Dems) taking a majority in the house and the Senate by a few percentage points.
      52/48 approx. in the Senate
      226/209 in the house
      Same percentage advantage for the triple A team in each chamber.
      Plenty of rinos will be available in the house or senate whenever needed to halt the progress of liberty.
      Without election reform that insures reliable processes, election SEASON, not election day will always be massaged for the ruling aristocrats.

      Delete
  2. Biden can say: "that 7-11 nearest the White House hired a new cashier, for a 100 percent increase over the year before. It's all looking up! I'm better than Roosevelt...or Tyler! I don't know."

    ReplyDelete
  3. “We are five days away from fundamentally transforming the United States of America…”

    ~~President “You didn’t build that” in Columbia, Missouri Oct. 30, 2008

    In case anybody forgot how we got here.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Great post, Don. I still worry about the Dem penchant for starting a war. Russia ( most likely) , China, ( were are they going to get the food and income ?) Iran (If Israel
    is on our side, no problem, however: "FJB" is in charge.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Xiden may need more than one war to overcome his disastrous presidency.

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    2. One more war or one more world-wide pandemic. Assuming the stick with a proven winner, a new pandemic it will be. Democrats have always sucked at waging war, from Vietnam to Afghanistan, and they especially suck at rallying Americans behind them to do so.

      Delete
  5. Afghanistan and covid? Don't forget the shitload of EO's that killed our energy independence, the graft he and Hunter are involved with in Ukraine and China, the perversion uncovered about him and Hunter involving underage hookers drugs and showers with their own daughter (the freak), vaxx passports (thanks again, Dan the rino Chrenshaw for his assist), pushing socialist spending we can't afford now or in the future....
    Need I go on?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I think Energy makes up the big 3. It seems like many don't care about the corruption.

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  6. “This is Herbert Hoover II”?

    No, this is FDR 2.0. On balance, Hoover was not that bad a president. He did not cause the depression.

    On the other hand, FDR’s policies extended the great depression and he did all he could to start WW2, while ignoring the evidence that the Japanese were going to strike Pearl Harbor. Instead, he and his naval commanders made sure we had all of our ducks sitting nice and still. The 2,403 who died at Pearl Harbor can all point to FDR as the reason they died.

    I’ll take Hoover on any day, over FDR, and over Biden.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. the only thing that saved US at Pearl Harbor, was the fact that our Carriers were at sea -and the IJN
      was looking for them at Pearl.
      BTW Drachinifel, a Brit naval historian has a great three part series on the story of the Salvage of Pearl Harbor- on You Tube.

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    2. forgot to add: We were heading into Depression again had the war intervened it would've happened.
      Just a bit too convenient? What?

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    3. Hoover was kneecapped by the Federal Reserve who contracted the money supply by an astounding 33% between 1929-1933. A 5% contraction would produce a painful recession. The Fed has blood on its hands and is *solely* responsible for today's inflation.

      Delete
  7. You could add Neville Chamberlain II with his remarks on Russia/Ukraine. It seems Biden picked the most pathetic leaders of the 20th Century as his role models.

    ReplyDelete
  8. Repubs had a majority in both houses for the 1st 2 years of Trump and what did they do? A successful tax cut that biden wants to scrap. But nothing else of mention. And that led to the dems taking the house back and piglosi ripping up the SOTU speaches. Without a major change to what the Constitution says things will only get worse. May God help us.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Mainly caused by the never Trumpers who cared more about hating on the President than America.

      Delete
  9. John Tyler was born in 1790. He may have been a goofball, but.....

    He still has one living grandson!!!!

    Look it up.

    Sadly, one other grandson died in 2020.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. This happens when you have 15 kids

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    2. You basically assure your future and your footprint with kids. Something that people are forgetting.

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    3. I think that is frigging amazing ! Nothing like a quirky fact to liven up the day .

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    4. https://www.washingtonpost.com/history/2020/11/29/president-john-tyler-grandson-harrison/

      Delete
  10. Hoover gave us a dam. Biden doesn't give one.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. But Biden does give a shit. Just ask the Pope!💩

      Delete
  11. If lying was Olympic sport, Biden would be in China right now and wouldn't need millions of mail in ballots to get the gold.

    ReplyDelete
  12. I'll second some of the comments above regarding Herbert Hoover - and then some. The strange thing about HH was that he was extremely good at everything else he ever did besides his Presidential term - both before and after that term.

    He was a very talented and very successful mining engineer who had managed to make himself quite wealthy at a young age. And he had sufficient command of Latin to create a translation of Agricola's "De Re Metallica" that is one of the most-respected translations and is which is available to this day. Even FDR later brought him back to run relief efforts - since HH was so competent at things like that.

    Like many, he deserves better than the write-ups he's been given - and it sure wasn't fair that the donks ran against him like his name was a curse for the next 50+ years.

    I also have to put in a good word for Neville Chamberlain, despite his bumbling. The ugly reality is that in 1938 both he and Daladier were actually doing what their populaces wanted to be done - avoid war at any cost; both were welcomed home as heroes at the time, for doing so - Daladier was morose heading home, expecting a firestorm to greet him... but instead he was met with cheering crowds.

    Chamberlain didn't long outlive his removal as PM and replacement by Churchill in1940 - but he remained in the cabinet and was a loyal and patriotic Briton who did all that he could to save Britain during those darkest days. When he died, Churchill was one of his pallbearers and was unable to keep back tears.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Later in life, Hoover and Truman became close friends.

      Chamberlain played a significant role in British rearmament on the eve of the war.

      Delete
  13. Do I remember the Republicans being in the lead????
    Yes I do.
    Then they blew it.
    I also remember Flake, Ryan, McConnell, McStain, B itch Romney,
    Etc, etc.

    ReplyDelete
  14. I'll remind everyone that the GOP did precious little with the majorities that we have given them- especially the trifecta with Trump. We're still talking ALL the same problems that we've been talking about for most of my voting life.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. They have a better scam being in the minority and promising to do stuff.

      McConnell wields more power trading votes among his Decepticons when he's Minority Leader.

      Uniparty.

      Delete
  15. Unbelievable that 42% still support Democrats.

    ReplyDelete
  16. But but but how could the people prefer "domestic terrorists" to the people's party??

    Unless of course.. They're NOT domestic terrorists and the democrat idiots have pushed this way too far..

    ReplyDelete
  17. Even if the GOP takes control of the house ,if Kevin McCarthy is speaker it will be a repeat of 2010. McCarthy is a rino. It will be a Paul Ryan 2.0 do nothing Congress. These fools just don't get it. We vote them in to make changes and they sit on their hands. More business as usual. We need someone different for speaker. No more RINOS.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. We need millions of Republicans to act NOW, and call the RNC, and each of their Republican Senators and Representatives, and tell them not one more penny donated to the RNC until Kevin McCarthy is immediately replaced with Jim Jordan, and Mitch McConnell with some strong Trump supporter. We need to give them hell NOW. Both McCarthy and McConnell are WASTING TIME RIGHT NOW when they could be doing TONS to counter the Left's narrative and actions. We need truly committed vigorous leaders that take initiative and command media attention (like Trump does), not passivity and weak "pretend" criticism of the Left.

      I'd even gladly accept Ted Cruz as a replacement for McConnell. Despite his recent Jan. 6th blunder, he's still far, far better than McConnell.

      Delete
    2. McCarthy should not be speaker. Nothing will get done.

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    3. The head of the RNC is Pierre Delecto’s niece. Even when she does something positive, I wonder what misdirection is going on.

      Delete
  18. Granted that Bidetn is an Evil, lying, incompetent pile of shit, both houses of congress make him look merely Carterish. The huge not demoncrat polling is a reflection of most Americans disgust with the leftists. I say “not demoncrat” polling in favor of the Rino party, is because, what other choice do we have?

    ReplyDelete
  19. Don't get cocky. Never underestimate the Stupid Party's ability to befarkle anything.

    ReplyDelete
  20. The optimism about the GOP here is just heart warming. Come on folks how about a little positive vibes.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Lucy is holding the football and Charlie Brown is ready to kick it through the uprights...

      Delete
  21. We know that every poll is skewed for the Socialist/Democrat/Communists. Assuming that is the case I'm hoping that the blow out in 2022 will throw these bastards back to the Stone Age. But, can we count on the Cowardly, Inept, Incompetent, and Impotent RINO's, Establishment republicans to act like Democrats and that full advantage of a golden opportunity? That is my greatest fear.

    ReplyDelete
  22. First there is a big difference between poll numbers and actual results. 13 vs 6.8. No doubt the dems are celebrating these numbers for two reasons, fund raising opportunities and complacency in the Republican ranks who think "we got this" Campaigns have yet to get rolling. Dems make phony accusations and draw first blood and Republicans cower. Dems cheat and Republicans cry foul. Media stages the news and the pundits talk about it. Am I missing something here? Would be wonderful to be wrong!

    ReplyDelete
  23. Don, you are the first voice who brought up Harrison. That’s the name I thought of when the pundits all asked, “Who has had a worse first year as president?” As Nathan Bedford Forrest said, “Keep up the skeer!” You are brilliant, sir!

    ReplyDelete
  24. Don, you are the first voice who brought up Harrison. That’s the name I thought of when the pundits all asked, “Who has had a worse first year as president?” As Nathan Bedford Forrest said, “Keep up the skeer!” You are brilliant, sir!

    ReplyDelete
  25. Don, you are the first voice who brought up Harrison. That’s the name I thought of when the pundits all asked, “Who has had a worse first year as president?” As Nathan Bedford Forrest said, “Keep up the skeer!” You are brilliant, sir!

    ReplyDelete
  26. Don, you are the first voice who brought up Harrison. That’s the name I thought of when the pundits all asked, “Who has had a worse first year as president?” As Nathan Bedford Forrest said, “Keep up the skeer!” You are brilliant, sir!

    ReplyDelete
  27. That's ok. If the dems can start a war with Russia before then, it'll be all good!

    /sarc="off"

    ReplyDelete
  28. 55.7% of voters prefer a Republican candidate in the upcoming congressional races. 42.2% prefer a Democrat.

    Just like last time.

    ReplyDelete
  29. Trafalgar also said Trump would win in a walk IIRC.

    Just sayin'.

    And Tyler wasn't such a goofball. He rammed through the annexation of TX so Polk would have a clean start.

    ReplyDelete
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    ReplyDelete
  31. Wait for it, wait for it to be gone with the wind. A long running saga of the GOPe — e for eunuch.

    ReplyDelete