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Tuesday, November 03, 2020

2016: The Final Days

Biden is up a million points in the Real Clear Politics Average. So why are Democrats fearing for their lives while Trump supporters are having such a good time? Because we have seen this nonsense before. Let us relive 2016 because in those final three days, the press pumped out millions of words they would have to eat on Election Night.

They sobbed and sobbed as they chewed.

On the Saturday before the election, the formerly conservative Wall Street Journal broke a bombshell story: "National Enquirer Shielded Donald Trump From Playboy Model’s Affair Allegation!

"Tabloid owner American Media agreed to pay $150,000 for story from 1998 Playmate of the Year, but hasn’t published her account!"

A mainstream outlet that ignored a National Enquirer verified story about John Edwards cheating on his cancer-stricken wife (while professing to stand by his woman) was demanding the National Enquirer publish a story that for some reason the newspaper spiked.

Meanwhile, ABC reported, "Support for Donald Trump has slipped to its lowest in 10 days and enthusiasm for Hillary Clinton has recovered from its apparent damage by the latest FBI email investigation. Yet the race between them remains close in the latest ABC News/Washington Post tracking poll.

"47% of likely voters support Clinton with 43% for Trump in the latest four-night results. Whether it holds is an open question: Monday night’s results, the best for Clinton in the series, will roll out tomorrow.

"While the shifts have been within the survey’s margin of sampling error, the contest has gone from +1 Trump, 45%-46%, Oct. 30, to +4 Clinton today. Trump’s support now is numerically its lowest since Oct. 25."

And 4% was outside the margin of error, so take it to the bank.

Nate Cohn of the New York Times assured readers, "Clinton Has Solid Lead in Electoral College; Trump’s Winning Map Is Unclear."

His story began, "Over the last few days of the race, Donald J. Trump intends to travel all over the country. He's going to Florida, North Carolina, Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, New Hampshire and even Minnesota, he said Saturday.

"It’s an impressive travel schedule, but it may reflect the biggest challenge facing him right now: It’s still not clear exactly where and how he would win."

Spoiler alert: He won 6 of those 10 states.

Jonathan Martin of the Times told readers, "Hispanic voters in key states surged to cast their ballots in the final days of early voting this weekend, a demonstration of political power that lifted Hillary Clinton’s presidential hopes and threatened to block Donald J. Trump’s path to the White House.

"In Florida, energized by the groundswell of Latino support and hoping to drive even more voters to the polls, Mrs. Clinton visited a handful of immigrant communities on Saturday and rallied Democrats in a town filled with Hispanic and Caribbean migrants."

The newspaper in Allentown reported, "A new Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll shows Democrat Hillary Clinton with a 6-point lead among likely Pennsylvania voters, who also expressed some concerns about potential violence as the tense and tumultuous election draws to a close."

Politico reported, "In a sign of momentum for Hillary Clinton, Florida Democrats widened their lead over Republicans in casting early ballots in the nation’s biggest political battleground Saturday morning as she and Donald Trump paid late-minute visits to the Sunshine State.

"The Democrats’ lead of 7,280 ballots cast pales in comparison to their advantage of about 104,000 early and absentee votes four years ago, however the state’s voter rolls have shifted significantly and neither Republicans nor Democrats can lay claim to having a clear advantage."

Via Raw Story, Bill O'Reilly argued with Sarah Palin over whether Donald Trump had momentum.

PALIN: You’re not in Michigan, then, cos they are hot, hot, hot for Trump.

O'REILLY: The polls say that Clinton’s up by five. Are you willing to make a prediction that Trump will carry Michigan this time around?

PALIN: There’s no reason why he wouldn’t. Like I’ve said before, polls are only good for strippers and cross-country skiers. What matters is that two days from now, you know, the gettin’ out the vote effort and making sure these Reagan Democrats and independents and Michigan Republicans get out their vote.

Polls are for strippers.

But everyone else swore by the polls in 2016 because everyone is smarter than Sarah Palin. Nate Silver gave Hillary a 71% chance of winning. The press accused him of pessimism. 

Matthew Yglesias wrote, "But even if you buy Silver’s main modeling assumptions (and I largely do), there’s considerable evidence outside the realm of things captured by poll aggregators that leads me to believe that if the polls are wrong, they are more likely to be underestimating Clinton’s support than overstating it. Predicting the future is difficult. And if you are terrified by the prospect of a Trump presidency, even a 10% chance he’ll win is pretty scary."

The press thought the polls underestimated Hillary's support because, hey, everyone in the news business was voting for her, right?

Late Monday night -- on the eve of the election -- TMZ reported, "Hillary Clinton will NOT light up the sky over NYC if she wins the Presidency -- her campaign is calling off a planned fireworks show ... TMZ has learned.

"The Clinton campaign had contacted the Coast Guard for permission to pull off a 2 minute long fireworks display over the Hudson River when the election results went final. The fireworks would be visible from the Jacob Javits Center, where she's holding her election night party.

"But the Coast Guard tells TMZ ... Clinton's camp reached out on Thursday -- 2 days after her fireworks plan was uncovered -- to say it wouldn't be shooting off the 10" aerial shells, after all."

They knew 5 days before the election was closer than everyone was letting on.

And if the campaign knew, the press knew because, hey, the American press belongs to the Democrat Party.

Four years later, we are supposed to believe their claim that Biden has already won?

By the way, no one will mourn Biden because he has no supporters. Say what you may about her, but Hillary had some fans.


  1. Were those fans leftovers from her exotic dancing days? I heard she did the dancing to land Bill. The start of the "Clinton Crime Family".

    1. After metoo and pedoland , we know that quite a lot of women are active enablers. I wouldnt be suprised if Hillary procured women for Bill and forcefully covered up the rapes she didn't actively set up.

    2. You hit the nail on the head. I normally don't traffic in gossip, but this one is fun, so here goes:

      The mother of a good friend of mine worked in a senior, non-political position in the administration of the White House property itself during the Clinton years.

      She said that it was a known fact among those physically close to the Clinton household that Hillary would routinely host celebrity female guests in the Blair House (an adjacent facility used to house visiting dignitaries) for Sapphic bedroom romps. One frequent visitor has a name that sounds a lot like Markie Post.

      Bill would routinely watch his wife and guests in action, and occasionally join in the fun.

  2. Just came back from voting. Very small district, very rural. 3 machines were set up. One person leaving as my wife and I arrived. No line. Signed in. Voted. Left. One person came in as we left. The poll worker said it had been steady all day. Busier than usual. I think my precinct will go 80+% for PDJT.

  3. They're stealing PA as we speak.

    That leaves MI and WI. We need one of the two. Otherwise flip NM and NH. This assumes NC doesn't got stolen thanks to Roberts.

    This could be a blowout for Trump or the narrowest of wins/losses.


  4. The geniuses in PA have bragged how they're stealing PA.

    5 gets you 10 Trump does not take it lying down.

    PS I agree with Blimp, not J. If the Trump vote exceeds the margin of fraud, Wolf and his cross-dresser and his half-wit AG are finished.

    PPS PA will go back to SCUS. And no swing vote this time.

    They knew 5 days before the election was closer than everyone was letting on.

    That was the tip-off.

  5. Poles are for guys named Valter.

    1. I was at a track meet and met a man carrying a long fiberglass rod. I asked him, "are you a pole vaulter?"
      He replied, "no, I'm Narvegeen, and my name's not Valter."

  6. When I voted, there was no line and I went right through in minutes. The previous week, there were long lines outside the early voting locations. All the fears of rioting in NYC center on Manhattan. Other than parts of Brooklyn, the outer boroughs have been quiet.

  7. From family back in Sussex County DE:
    "In line at Selbyville Middle School. Been here since 11:45am (sent at 1:30pm) Only half way through. I've never seen anything like this. I don't know what it means, but line wraps around school lot towards road.
    The line at Roxanna Fire Hall is 4 hours. Cody was there all morning. John in SC got in line at 6:45 this AM, took him 3.5 hours! He stayed for Trump and to help get Lindsay re-elected to keep Senate.

    1. News from other states like FL GA N.C. is outstanding, and my optimism is overflowing with knowledge that even DE will be close!

    2. Somebody had Trump's final electoral tally at 362. I took Don's 37 (356) and tried to figure which states.

      I could only see VT and DE.

      That would be cool. I'd still like another half dozen or so. The Left Coast, NY and Jersey, IL.

      If you threw in HI, MD, RI and CT, I wouldn't cry.

  8. Joe has momentum!!

    Joe Biden took all five of the votes cast for president in Dixville Notch, a tiny New Hampshire township along the US-Canada border, one of the first to announce results

    1. This comment has been removed by the author.

    2. Let me get the numbers right this time...

      Millsfield just down the road also claims the first-in-the-nation voting slot... and things were a little different there (as noted by Mark Steyn):

      16-5 for the Trump train, and 22-0 (!) for the R NH governor...

  9. As I like to say, the Democrats have been gaslighting themselves about Donald Trump since he rode down that escalator to announce his candidacy in June 2015. Five years of non-stop, round-the-clock gaslighting. It sure seems they can't help themselves.

  10. Nate Cohn, NYT-TDS Clone, and one of my favorite High-IQ Idiots.

    And now Jeffrey Toobin would like to thank the calendar for the election taking the heat off his little computer-screen-hijinks rear-end.

    Don Reed