All errors should be reported to DonSurber@gmail.com

Thursday, July 30, 2020

Even CNN sees Trump winning



When it comes to the polls, it is what they don't say that counts.

And what the polls don't say is how many 2016 voters for President Donald John Trump are bailing on him.

That is very telling because as long as President Trump's voters stick with him, he will win re-election because they were enough in 2016.

Via Power Line, CNN let that tidbit slip.

Before I get into that, let us examine the importance of sticking with Donald Trump.

Democrats are hung up on 46%. That's the percentage of the votes he got in 2016. Hillary got 48%. Democrats figure that without as many third-party voters, Biden will get 51% or more to President Trump's 46%.

So?

Give Basement Biden 54% and it still does not matter because most of those votes would be in blue states where Democrats run the elections and can run up the score.

I get that Californians are moving to other states. Many blame the exodus from California for the communism in coastal Oregon and Washington state. Those expatriates went north for the scenery.

Today's Reverse Okies are economic refugees. My sense is they are conservative by nature. They leave for safety reasons.

Exoduses can turn blue states red. We saw that throughout the South in the 1990s. State after state flipped Republican for the first time since Reconstruction.

West Virginia flipped red largely because Republicans fled Washington DC and Maryland to live in the Eastern Panhandle. Both our state attorney general and 2nd District congressman are refugees. The 2nd District congressman also is Hispanic, representing the least Hispanic state in the nation.

My point is, do not buy the Democrat narrative/media spin that Arizona or other places with flip blue as Californians flee the insanity.

And President Trump is keeping his base, including the Obama supporters who voted for Donald Trump in 2016.

Most prefer him over Obama.

Rich Thau in a CNN column reported, "Each month for the past 17 months, I've had a unique window into the Americans largely responsible for giving the president his slim Electoral College victory: so-called "Obama-Trump" swing voters across the upper Midwest.

"Our Swing Voter Project has uncovered that many of these people, who live in places such as Canton, Ohio; Davenport, Iowa; Erie, Pennsylvania; and Macomb County, Michigan, prefer Trump over Biden. In fact, 22 of 33 respondents in these four most recent locations feel this way.
And over the first year of the project, from March 2019 through February 2020, more than two-thirds of the Obama-Trump voters said they would take Trump over Obama in a hypothetical match-up."

Of course, in February, the whole world went bonkers.

Thau wrote, "It's critical to understand why so many of them continue to support Trump.
They think a businessman is best suited to turn the country around economically. They feel Covid-19 was not Trump's fault, and he's doing the best he can to contain it. They conflate the Black Lives Matter protesters with the rioters attacking federal buildings and retail shops. They don't want historic monuments torn down. And they dismiss defunding the police as ridiculous.

"These voters tell me they want America finally to be put first; they oppose immigration and trade policies they say give benefits to foreigners at their expense. And they want a non-politician who relentlessly fights back, after witnessing too many office holders fold in the face of special interests."

Now the Democrats and their handmaidens in the press will tell you Donald Trump is losing white suburban women.

Oh?

They wouldn't vote for Hillary in 2016 when she was running to be the first Woman President.

Logic is not a strong suit for Democrats.

***

NOTE: I am inundated with spam comments. I spend a lot of time deleting them. If you see it, email me at DonSurber@GMail.com

Please bear with me.

26 comments:

  1. They can't do math. If you remove the votes from California, Donald Trump won the popular vote.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Math is racist and sexist. 2+2= has to equal feelings not "4". Dont ever let a Democrat build you a bridge or a building or anything for that matter.

      Delete
    2. And when Kanye West pulls away 4-5M votes from Biden, democrats won't win the popular vote this time either.

      Delete
    3. I suspect they were illegal votes to start with.

      Delete
    4. So did Bush in 2000, and California tossed 3 million military votes without counting them that year. It wouldn't have changed the electoral vote, but the popular vote...

      Delete
    5. And if you break California 2016 down even further, Cankles got her California margin/national majority by running up the score in five counties. FIVE.

      Delete
    6. It was reported that Hillary was so confident of her victory in the Mid-West that she moved resources to California, Illinois, and New York, for fear that Trump may win the popular vote and take away her "mandate". It worked in that she did win the popular vote, but she lost in the Mid-West. Just desserts.

      Delete
  2. Thank you for fighting the spam. I know you can't hire an IT staff like Lucianne does, but I do hope you can network your way to sage and sound advice from the pro's in your fan base. I trust there are many who will be glad to help.

    ReplyDelete
  3. "Basement Biden"
    Nice!

    JimNorCal

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. I prefer "Punxsutawney Joe", personally.

      Delete
    2. The last time Biden went to Moscow, chances are the Russkies pulled off a switcheroo with a strategically shaved, more lively double.

      https://encrypted-tbn0.gstatic.com/images?q=tbn%3AANd9GcQLzVl3pTef64VmwUX52vbH_3lmCBNajL_zPg&usqp=CAU

      Delete
    3. Joe "Stink Finger" Biden

      Delete
  4. My wife and I are two of whom you speak. Interestingly, I find myself very protective of my adopted home state these days, muttering darkly whenever I see a Maryland or Virginia license plate. I think I’ll take your words to heart and relax more. DC LibCommies still view DubVee as Incestville, and I will do absolutely NOTHING to disabuse them of that notion.

    ReplyDelete
  5. Regarding the overwhelming number of spam comments: It's a blogger.com problem. I have a blog that nobody reads that gets inundated with spam comments. My "audience" tab puts mine as coming from Turkmenistan. Seriously. Turkmenistan. Some days I will get several hundred page views from Turkmenistan, with the good ol' USA in second place with the total page views in the high single digits (when I'm lucky).
    -TK

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Ah, good ol' Turkmenistan, a.k.a. North Korea, Jr.
      A place uniquely suited for the governance competencies of Gretchen Whitmer & Sir Willie* of Redmond.

      *a.k.a. the Antimatter "Willie & The Po' Boys"

      Delete
    2. I would love to visit your quiet blog. May you give the address?
      I'm not from Turkmenistan.

      Delete
  6. I'm sorry, "slim" Electoral College victory? Wow, talk about denial.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Granted, 306 to 232 does not look slim. But it was still too damned close; too many of Trump's electoral votes came from states where the vote was 50/50 plus a little noise. It could easily have gone the other way, and it could this time as well.

      Delete
  7. Another thought. Imagine all those Turkmen with a lot of time on their hands dedicating their efforts to creating millions of fake mail-in ballots. And the Cicoms, Ruskies and other mischief makers. In other words, Biden's handlers.

    ReplyDelete
  8. "Slim Electoral College victory"? Since when is 304-227 a "slim" victory? Inquiring minds want to know.

    ReplyDelete
  9. I am a Californian (San Francisco) moving to a Red State. But fear not dear Republicans. I would rather have both of my testicles crushed than vote for a Democrat.

    ReplyDelete
  10. I wonder if CNN will fire the editor who approved that story, NYTimes style.

    Other than some People fleeing Memphis, Mississippi is not one of the destinations of those fleeing blue state (or blue city) hellholes. Thankfully.

    ReplyDelete
  11. Not only is Trump keeping his 2016 voters, he's gaining Black and Hispanic voters. In a free and fair election, Trump will win in a landslide.

    ReplyDelete