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Monday, March 23, 2020

Trump's end game on COVID-19

"Protecting Americans’ health also means fighting infectious diseases. We are coordinating with the Chinese government and working closely together on the corona virus outbreak in China. My administration will take all necessary steps to safeguard our citizens from this threat."
-- President Donald John Trump
State of the Union
February 4, 2020


What is President Donald John Trump's end game with COVID-19? He never engages in battle without winning the war first. From the moves he has made, we may be able to predict his end game.

Vox reported this weekend, "Top health officials first learned of the virus’s spread in China on January 3, US Health and Human Services Secretary Alex Azar said Friday. Throughout January and February, intelligence officials’ warnings became more and more urgent, according to the Post — and by early February, much of the Office of the Director of National Intelligence and the CIA’s intelligence reports were dedicated to warnings about COVID-19.

"All the while, Trump downplayed the virus publicly, telling the public the corona virus 'is very well under control in our country,' and suggesting warm weather would neutralize the threat the virus poses."

His first move was a restriction on travel to Red China on January 31. Red China and its agents in the United States labeled this racist and xenophobic, but the president gave cover to worried airlines to shut down flights to Wuhan and Beijing.

President Trump mentioned the virus briefly in the State of the Union but other than that, he did little publicly. I believe he was preparing for battle. His worse nightmare -- according to conventional wisdom in Washington -- was about to come true. The stock market tanked, a harbinger of what the American economy could do.

He instigated the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 50 basis points (1/2%) and then another 100 (1%). This only accelerated the drop in stock prices. And instead of weakening the dollar (which would make our exports better priced) the rest of the West dropped interest rates and the dollar strengthened.

What looked like a mistake was a deft move. Lower interest rates makes borrowing cheaper for the government. The question on a $2 trillion bailout-stimulus-slopping of the political pigs is not how we will pay for it, but how much is the vigorish? Looks like as little as $30 billion a year (in perpetuity) will cover the interest on this manna from Washington.

That is not how I would do it, nor how I want it done. But that is how they play the game now.

President Trump handed off the public health portion of the crisis to Mike Pence. But in retrospect. the vice president's role seems to be more as an emissary to the epidemiologists to vouch for President Trump's sincerity and sanity. They seem to have a good relation and Dr. Fauci suppressed a laugh at a press briefing last week when the president called it the Deep State Department.

The Donald's management style is on display. He takes the flak, they do the work. He gives them free rein. He expects results and loyalty; both are rare commodities in Washington.

He is used to working with professionals in many fields. He has accepted the challenge of battling a pandemic. It;s different. You save lives. And success gets you re-elected. Failure doesn't, and if you flunk this test, you do not deserve a second term.

President Trump also got the airline, cruise, manufacturing, and banking industries involved. Private enterprise is refocusing on making masks and respirators. Drug companies are donating millions of pills.

He has governors on board as well, leaving the decisions on lockdowns to them.

The end game is coming and it will be swift. The chloroquine cure -- a readily available and effective treatment -- was the medical development he needed. With widespread use, the virus will become less deadly. An off-the-shelf drug likely is just a temporary way to treat this disease until researchers come up with something new that works better.

FDA approval is not needed under the the Right To Try law that President Trump signed in May 2018.

To put this virus in perspective, let us look at what happened with the flu last winter.

The CDC reported, "CDC estimates that the burden of illness during the 2018–2019 season included an estimated 35.5 million people getting sick with influenza, 16.5 million people going to a health care provider for their illness, 490,600 hospitalizations, and 34,200 deaths from influenza."

Three-quarters of the deaths were people 65 and older.

The panic on Wall Street will end with the end of this quarter on March 31. Big investors will search for bargains. Greed is good because it will change the mood on the economy.

In the meantime, President Trump is giving daily briefings that show him large and in charge. When pipsqueak reporters protest, he smacks them down with words. Thus he entertains Americans as he reassures them that we are subduing a deadly disease.

Called panic.

President Trump has wisely allowed the fever to run its course, while at the same time handling the pandemic with aplomb.

Sometime, maybe next month, maybe August, he may hold a rally. That will signal the victory over our fears that is inevitable. That is his end game.

11 comments:

  1. I absolutely agree with your conclusion.

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  2. We live in a fast paced world. Good things can happen just as fast as bad things. What the hell, be positive.

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  3. Thank you Lord for calling this man to run. Thank you Lord for all of the patriotic Americans who voted for him. And thank you Lord for Don Surber. (I am tempted to call him Don the Baptist, but for several reasons, that “wouldn’t be prudent.”)

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  4. Oregon's Fearless leader-Kate Brown just issued a stay at home order-with four deaths-and none since last week.

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    1. They are acting like it’s the bubonic plague. If they do that in Mississippi, I am not complying.

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    2. Fascist Bitch is better.

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  5. President Trump needs to limit the damage from our lousy Congress Critters before they really screw things up. Here's a sharp stick to poke in Pelosi and Schumer's eyes: President Trump has the Constitutional authority to Adjourn Congress.

    United States Constitution
    Article 2
    Section 3
    He shall from time to time give to the Congress Information of the State of the Union, and recommend to their Consideration such Measures as he shall judge necessary and expedient; he may, on extraordinary Occasions, convene both Houses, or either of them, and in Case of Disagreement between them, with Respect to the Time of Adjournment, he may adjourn them to such Time as he shall think proper; he shall receive Ambassadors and other public Ministers; he shall take Care that the Laws be faithfully executed, and shall Commission all the Officers of the United States.

    - Elric

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  6. On January 14th WHO (world health organization) tweeted that China had found the virus was NOT transferred from human to human. It looks to me that Trump sealed our borders to China as soon as he verified it was communicable and deadly. I believe America was the first country to initiate a no China travelers policy, but to hear the talking heads on the MSM you'd think he was playing the fiddle while the virus spread. We need to make sure Americans hear the truth.
    Hell in February, the mayor of Florence was instructing his citizens to hug Chinese.
    Once verified, Trump's been all over this.

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  7. I just read that The American Electric Power Foundation is donating $1.5 million for coronavirus relief. Ever wonder why your electric bill keeps going up? - Elric

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  8. Why would anyone believe the corrupt and incompetent IC?

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