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Saturday, November 23, 2019

Why they won't convict Trump



A few conservative bloggers are panicked. They believe a Republican Senate will convict President Donald John Trump and remove him from office. They genuinely believe this because they do not trust the party. Let me talk them down off the ledge.

This won't happen.

1. Republicans overwhelmingly approve of Donald John Trump.

The lines start forming two days before his rallies begin. There is always an overflow crowd and he almost dragged the least popular governor in America over the finish line in Kentucky.

Reuters put his approval at 82%. Politicians will not turn their back on 82% of their base.

2. President Trump is an ATM.

Thanks to President Trump, the Republican National Committee is flush with cash.

On October 1, the Associated Press reported, "The pro-Trump effort said Tuesday that it has raised more than $308 million in 2019 and has more than $156 million in the bank. Republicans aim to use the fundraising haul to fight off Democrats’ impeachment effort.

"Former President Barack Obama and the DNC raised just over $70 million in the third quarter of 2011.

"'President Trump has built a juggernaut of a campaign, raising record amounts of money at a record pace,' said Trump campaign manager Brad Parscale.

"RNC Chairwoman Ronna McDaniel credited Democratic attacks on Trump for motivating supporters to donate in record numbers."

When money talks, politicians listen.

3. There is nothing to impeach him on.

The Associated Press reported, "Lots of impeachment evidence but one thing missing."

What was missing?

AP said, "Yet the witness accounts left one prominent hole that offered a lifeline for Trump and his GOP allies. None of the witnesses could personally attest that Trump directly conditioned the release of the $400 million in military aid on a Ukrainian announcement of investigations into former Vice President Joe Biden and the Democratic National Committee.

"Some Republicans suggested that even if that link could be made, it wouldn’t be enough for them to support impeaching Trump and removing him from office. And without that link, Trump's wall of support among GOP lawmakers seems formidable."

Mollie Hemingway pointed out Democrats are befuddled.

She wrote, "What the charge is keeps changing, of course. The whistleblower initially suggested a campaign finance violation arising from a call Trump had with the president of Ukraine. That morphed into a quid pro quo for military aid to Ukraine, then extortion, then bribery, then obstruction of justice, then back to a quid pro quo, but this time only a quid pro quo for a White House meeting. The lack of certainty among even Trump’s critics certainly worked in his favor."

If only they could tie him to the 11-year-old boy whom Fiona Hill said set her pigtail on fire in fifth grade.

4. The trial will be lit.

President Trump will mount a rigorous defense. Hunter and Joe Biden will take the stand. Also, the prosecution witnesses are weak. A reader pointed out every one of them withered under cross-examination.

But the real prize will be the transcripts of those interviews Adam Schiff held in the basement. The defense gets access to them, and will harvest exculpatory evidence with a rake.

5. He is shoving the media back twice as hard.

I always seek the dog that doesn't bark. Since the death of John McCain, no Republican has stepped up to be the Blue Falcon who trashes the party's president on the Sunday morning talk shows.

Everyone expected Lindsey Graham to be McCain. Instead, Graham has consistently supported the president, and has been polite in policy disagreements.

No one wants to be That Guy anymore. No one. The media has lost credibility within the Republican Establishment. They have watched their old buddies try to destroy the man. They know they are next if the media succeeds in bringing him down.

Besides, it is fun to be The Donald. The impeachment questions from Republican congressmen were positively Trumpy. The man is growing on them.

6. He was right about Syria.

Remember, back in the Dark Ages -- October -- when the whole world was against President Trump's decision to quit Syria?

A month later, there's no genocide and ISIS not only is not growing, its leaders are dead. President Trump gave Republican dissenters a pass on opposing him. Quite a contrast from his past performance.

He did no victory lap. That too was different.

7. Comity is dead in the Senate.

Chuck Schumer is better than Harry Reid, but he is no Tom Daschle. The bitterness is still there from being shut out on Obamacare.

Republicans had been nice to Obama. President Bush even let his people take over the economic policy before the election. Obama and Reid treated them like dirt.

I just don't see any Republican joining Schumer on this one.

8. He is doing his job.

I realize that performance is a small consideration in DC politics, but from tax cuts to regulatory relief to moving the embassy to Jerusalem, President Trump has been a political Domino's.

He delivers.

The economy is booming. I should make that a separate item. He is bringing those jobs back and adding many more. Making America Great Again requires leadership. He provides it.

Also the federal appellate court is now more than 25% Trumpy. He's flipping circuits like an electrician. That too should be a separate reason for keeping him.

9. Pence + Haley = President Warren.

The next Republican presidential nominee will be as exciting as a dance with grandma compared to President Trump. That is a problem to deal with in 2024, not 2020.

Republicans finally have a winner as president. There is no way they are going to give that up under pressure from the media.

They can live with a president some people call rude. They will not survive under another Marxist president.

I get why people are nervous. Conservatives have been burnt so many times before our nickname should be Matches, but I also get that the Republican Party did not win the Civil War, start a transcontinental railway, pass the Homestead Act, and start land grant colleges by being wusses.

And all that happened in Lincoln's first term. We have another one of his heirs in charge. President Trump is worthy of McKinley, Coolidge, Eisenhower, and Reagan. The party knows that now.

To get elected president, Donald John Trump had to reshape the Republican Party into his image.

We trust him. Maybe we should trust them now.

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