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Saturday, November 02, 2019

Impulsive Trump is the best Trump

The Washington Post harrumphed a few days ago about Red China casting shade on a USA-Red China trade agreement.

Of course Red China would want to cast shade. It is negotiating for a deal that will trim the $365 billion-a-year on profit it milks from the USA. Red China wants the best terms possible in its surrender on the trade war. Shade is a negotiating chip.

The key word in the story was impulsive.

The Post (aka the Jeff Bezos Rag) said, "In private conversations with visitors to Beijing and other interlocutors in recent weeks, Chinese officials have warned they won't budge on the thorniest issues, according to people familiar with the matter. They remain concerned about President Donald Trump's impulsive nature and the risk he may back out of even the limited deal both sides say they want to sign in the coming weeks."

Impulsive Trump.

Where have we heard this before?

Oh yes, when the New York Times (aka the Mexican Billionaire's Rag) reported on October 15, 2019, "In Syria, Trump Distills a Foreign Policy of Impulse, and Faces the Fallout."

That story said, "It is a foreign policy built primarily on reflex and increasingly resistant to outside advice. Unimpressed by the national security establishment and uninterested in the tedium of traditional policy making, Mr. Trump often demonstrates more faith in what some overseas strongman tells him than the soft-boiled guidance of the bureaucrats, diplomats, intelligence analysts and military officers in the Situation Room."

The tedium of traditional policy making produced nothing but a 30-day mission that turned into an 8 year stay.

The result of the pullout is Turkey, the Kurds and Syria creating a DMZ along the Turk-Syrian border, protection for the Kurds, and the death of al-Baghdadi.

Then there was his offer to Mexico to either protect our border or pay ever-escalating tariffs.

On May 31, 2019, the Associated Press reported, "To both allies and critics, the tariff escalation marks the latest manifestation of Trump’s increasing reliance on instinct and his aides’ increasing unwillingness or inability to constrain an impulsive leader. Many of the people who had once talked Trump out of going through with his most radical ideas, such as completely shutting down the southern border or renewing the controversial immigrant child separation policy, have been pushed out of the administration, including former Homeland Security Secretary Kirstjen Nielsen."

The impulsive leader leader won. Mexico now is keeping asylum seekers until the USA adjudicates their cases, Mexico now is stopping caravans of illegal aliens, and Mexico now has more military troops on our border than we have.

On July 29, 2019, two months after getting Mexico 100% wrong, the Associated Press tried again.

It said, "An unrepentant President Donald Trump has been testing the limits of the nation’s tolerance from the day he took office. Now he has cast off one of the few remaining voices trying to curtail his at times mercurial impulses.

"Trump nudged out national intelligence director Dan Coats, a rare cautionary influence in his foreign policy apparatus, while he escalated his attacks on minority members of Congress and went so far as to call a majority-black U.S. city of 600,000 a 'disgusting, rat and rodent infested mess' on Twitter. Both moves underscored Trump’s longstanding belief that he is his own best political strategist.

"The president’s volatile management style has shocked the nation before. But the drumbeat of provocation emanating from the White House has grown undeniably louder in recent months. Trump aides such as economic adviser Gary Cohn, who blocked impulsive actions by going so far as to remove rogue paperwork from the Resolute Desk, are gone."

What the AP just praised was insubordination.

And Baltimore is rat-infested. It is AP that brought up race.

But Official Washington keeps getting him wrong because no one in our capital has read The Art of War. One passage from Sun Tzu reads, "All warfare is based on deception. Hence, when able to attack, we must seem unable; when using our forces, we must seem inactive; when we are near, we must make the enemy believe we are far away; when far away, we must make him believe we are near."

What Washington calls impulsive is cold calculation.

And it works.

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