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Thursday, September 12, 2019

NC shows Trump attracts minority voters

Jason Johnson is professor of politics and journalism at Morgan State.

He has a deal to appear on MSNBC and writes for The Root, a race-baiting liberal outlet. He worried about a CNN poll that showed 15% of black men support President Donald John Trump.

Johnson tweeted that this would re-elect him.

A Rasmussen poll had overall black support at 32%.

With black employment at an all-time high, one can see the reason for panic among Democrats. Black voters supply 25% of the party's votes.

This week's special congressional elections in North Carolina showed President Trump at his best. He rallied Republicans who erased an 8-point deficit for Republican Dan Bishop in the state's 9th Congressional District. The day after a Donald Trump rally, Bishop won by 2% -- a 10-point swing.

The other Republican romped to a 24-point win.

Last year's midterm election also showed the president's political chops, Midterms are disasters for a president's party but for the first midterm in 84 years, a president knocked off four incumbent senators of the opposition party. He rallied hard for those upsets, which of two Republican defeats to give his party a two-seat gain in the Senate.

Obama carried North Carolina in 2008.

President Trump took the state by 3 points, upsetting pollsters.

Following Tuesday's election, the Washington Examiner reported, "Republicans in North Carolina are privately confident about President Trump’s 2020 prospects in the perennial battleground state, despite barely surviving a special election in a House seat the GOP has controlled for more than a half-century."

That half-century is misleading as the 9th District has changed its shape significantly over the years. Also, Democrats spent twice what Republicans did on the race.

But Republicans had a trump card: President Trump.

Minorities are 31.5% of North Carolina's population, which is above the national average of 27%. If he can carry it again, Professor Johnson's worry will come true.

At American Spectator, Dan Cantor agreed that Democrats should worry about the minority vote.

He wrote, "The most unnerving example, from the Democratic perspective, is rural Robeson County. The ethnic makeup of this county is as follows: Native American (38.6%), White (25.7%), Black (24%), Hispanic (8.52%), Two or More Races (2.15%), Asian (0.66%), Other (0.275%).

"On Tuesday the Democrat received a fraction of the votes he received in 2018, running for the same seat. Ryan Matsumoto of Inside Elections provides the gory details: 'McCready won Robeson County by only 1.11 points, a MASSIVE decrease from his 15.31 point margin last November.' In 2012, Obama carried Robeson by 17 points."

President Trump's rising tide of prosperity is lifting boats of all colors.

Failure has consequences, which is why voters rejected the establishment in favor of the Orange Man in 2016.

But success has its rewards, which is why voters of all colors may re-elect him.