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Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Republicans win, press says Trump is doomed

"Democrat looks for upset in strong GOP district in Arizona," read the Associated Press headline on Sunday.

The story by Bob Christie pumped the special election up,as he began, "In a district Donald Trump won by 21 points in 2016, a Democratic newcomer is trying to pull off an upset victory for an open U.S. House seat in Arizona that has been held by Republicans since the early 1980s.

"Hiral Tipirneni, an emergency room physician and a cancer research advocate, is hoping to replicate Democratic wins in Pennsylvania, Alabama and other states in a year where opposition to the president's policies have boosted the party's chances in Republican strongholds."

Wow, if you just read the headline and the first two paragraphs, you would believe the blue wave is coming.

Then Paragraph 3 came in, "Still, many observers in Arizona see Tipirneni's odds against the Republican, former state Sen. Debbie Lesko, as slim. They face off in Tuesday's special election to replace former Rep. Trent Franks in Arizona's 8th District, who resigned in December amid sexual harassment allegations."

And on Tuesday, Lesko duly prevailed with a six-point win. Open seat contests usually are close.

Funny thing is, the press said Trump lost.

"But Lesko’s single-digit margin is the latest evidence that Republicans face a punishing midterm environment, even in Trump-friendly territory. Lesko’s victory comes on the heels of losses for Republicans in southwestern Pennsylvania, where Democratic Rep. Conor Lamb beat Republican Rick Saccone in a district that backed Trump by nearly 20 points in 2016, and in Alabama, where Democrat Doug Jones defeated Republican Roy Moore last year," Politico reported.

While the press frames the losses as based on policy, the fact is Roy Moore and Rick Saccone were terrible candidates.

Republicans worked to keep this seat.

"GOP outside groups — including the Republican National Committee, the National Republican Congressional Committee and the Congressional Leadership Fund, a super PAC aligned with House Speaker Paul Ryan — dumped resources on the district to boost early turnout and cement the party’s latent advantage in the district," Politico reported.

"National Democrats, meanwhile, largely stayed on the sidelines. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee didn’t spend on TV ads in the race, though the Democratic National Committee invested $175,000 in the district through online fundraising, get-out-the-vote efforts and other infrastructure. The independent-expenditure unit of the Working Families Party also spent $100,000 to help Tipirneni."

The problem for Democrats is fund-raising. Having invested a record billion dollars in Hillary only to lose the White House, big donors feel betrayed and are closing their wallets to the national party. That's the real story.

13 comments:

  1. Well and Conor Lamb practically ran as a Republican,

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  2. So when the Leftists fail to win their chosen contests in the mid-terms by single digit loses they will declare a "Blue Wave moral victory" and claim it's proof that they can defeat Trump in 2020?

    Bucky

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  3. The Trump lost meme was written before the election. To make money, Trump must always be presented as in danger to his supporters or dangerous to theirs. It is the same cartoon over and over because It is their lowest energy state. Any effort to leave it might cause unforseen fluctuations in click cash, a pink slip from imperious masters living in far away mansions, the sidewalk and a cat.
    The Reagan Meteor began the extinction of rational political analysis in the American press. He destroyed their natural ideological home in Russia, left them in the desert where they wander still, looking for the whirlwind.

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  4. As the late, great (and psychotic) Al Davis used to say, “Just win, baby.”

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  5. Once again, in a district Trump won overwhelmingly, the Republican congressional candidate seriously under-performed. The news media would have us to believe that this is because POTUS-Trump is deeply unpopular. What an idiotic view contrary to all known evidence. POTUS-Trump is still just about as popular as he was on November 8, 2016. It is the Congressional Republicans who are now deeply unpopular, including a number of hardcore POTUS-Trump supporters.

    So horrible has the Ryan/McConnell Congressional wing of the Republican party been since the Trump election, I think they can't keep making false promises about immigration, or concealed-carry reciprocity, or anything else they've promised. The only possible winning campaign slogan for the Congressional GOP this year: Vote for us and we'll stop 65, 70 percent of Nancy Pelosi's hard left agenda.

    The honesty would be refreshing.

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    1. For some time I've been wondering how to thread this needle: I want to support President Trump, but I also want to remove all those GOPe backstabbers, liars and frauds.

      But it's complicated, because unlike the NeverTrump morons, I don't want Democrats to win, whatever happens. (Because pure poison is worse than GOPe poison-lite, even though it's got fewer calories.)

      Fundraisers from the GOP get nothing from me. It's too hard to tell who I'd be supporting!

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    2. The Alabama democrap who beat Moore did not have an opening until McConnell threw money in the race and libeled the best candidate running, Mo Brooks. If the DC swamp critters (yes, you Mitch) would have left Alabama alone, Brooks would have been able to get his brand out and Moore would have failed to get the nomination. When Moore won, the democrap was salivating. Thanks Mitch for continuing to be a butthead.

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  6. I think that the Dem's wallets are being closed because they felt that the chances were good that their money would be diverted to some other place just like they took millions of dollars and laundered them over to the Clinton Crime Couple's presidential run.

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  7. Close only counts in horseshoes and hand grenades. Just sayin'

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    1. You forgot...Atom Bombs...and CLOOOOOOOOSe-Dancing!!

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  8. Well, Don, you can't no way expect the fake newsies to tell anything straight. A one-vote Dem winof course, would be a "landslide victory".

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  9. "where opposition... have boosted the party's chances"

    No damn wonder they can't get the story straight. They can't even get subject/verb agreement right!

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