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Monday, April 30, 2018

Millennials become FICA conservatives

A new poll shows why Democrats want high unemployment. People without jobs tend to be liberal and vote Democratic.

People with jobs meet Uncle FICA on their first paycheck, and wonder why he skims nearly 8% of the money they just earned.

FICA is the payroll tax. Actually, it is not completely a tax. It is the Federal Insurance Contributions Act, which collects those premiums you pay into Social Security, as well as the Medicare tax.

Federal taxes, they understand.

But FICA? No one told them about him.

Employment is up, and Republicans are courting those new hires (as well as the old) by cutting their taxes. The Tax Cut and Jobs Act of 2017 is President Trump's centerpiece legislative accomplishment.

Reuters polled millennials -- people 18 to 34 -- and found President Trump is flipping them to the Republican Party, much the same way Ronald Reagan flipped many baby boomers. And for the same reason: they finally have a job.

"Terry Hood, 34, an African-American who works at a Dollar General store in Baton Rouge, Louisiana and took this year’s poll, said he voted for Democrat Hillary Clinton in the 2016 presidential election," Reuters reported.

He voted for Hillary, but he told Reuters he may vote Republican.

"It sounds strange to me to say this about the Republicans, but they’re helping with even the small things. They’re taking less taxes out of my paycheck. I notice that," Hood said.

The numbers look good. Democrats went from having 55% of the millennials down to 46% in just two years.

Republicans stayed at 28%, but that 9% drop by Democrats could be big, given the closeness of the last congressional election (Republicans got 49.1% of the House votes, Democrats 48%).

Wait a second. People are supposed to go the opposite direction in midterms, flipping to the opposition party.

"Although nearly two of three young voters polled said they do not like Republican President Donald Trump, their distaste for him does not necessarily extend to all Republicans or translate directly into votes for Democratic congressional candidates." Reuters reported.

But while they may not like him, they love his policies.

Race plays a big role.

"Two years ago, young white people favored Democrats over Republicans for Congress by a margin of 47 to 33 percent; that gap vanished by this year, with 39 percent supporting each party," Reuters reported.

The significance is that the 1965 Voters Rights Act mandated black majority redistricting. This herded most black voters into an electoral ghetto.

The contested races are all in white majority districts. Democrats just lost their 14-point lead among young white people.

My guess is the flip is not limited to millennials.

9 comments:

  1. I remember one of our employees looking at her paycheck after Clinton had raised taxes to include a stealth medicare surcharge on everyone.
    She said "Why are my taxes so high now?". I said Mary, did you vote for Clinton? She replied happily Yes. Well I said he raised your taxes without telling you. She looked at me and said Oh,But he is so handsome!". Democracy in action.

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    Replies
    1. Did you tell her she got suckered?

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    2. Why women shouldn't vote.

      Ever.

      They voted for Jack Kennedy because they'd have liked to go to bed with him. I don't doubt many felt the same way about Ozero and even Franklin Roosevelt.

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  2. And that Mr. Anonymous, is another reason to repeal the 19th amendment.

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  3. The Republicans that win will be the ones that accept Trump as their president and talk a good economic game. People are beginning to focus on their own lives. Social justice shit ain't gonna hack it.

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  4. Mr. T is once again on a roll. North Korea, Syria, Afghanistan (including 9 reporters, darn) and now Iran, all within the last week. Stormy who?

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  5. How long until PDJT is accused of buying votes? (Just wait for the cue, please, Mrs Clinton.)

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  6. while they may not like him, they love his policies

    Old American proverb - People vote their pocket book.

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  7. Or, as BJ Willie said, "It's the economy, stupid."

    ReplyDelete