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Thursday, September 14, 2017

The Art of the DACA Deal

Democrats announced last night that they have reached a deal with President Trump on illegal immigration -- DACA -- Deferred Action for Childhood Arrivals.

Trump didn't say a word.




Fools rush in.

Looks like someone was awful quick to get its spin out there.

So what is going on?

To find that answer, let us look at the previous announcement by Democrats that they forced President Trump to cut a deal on the debt ceiling. The people who hate Trump immediately jumped on that one and said he was caving -- selling his supporters out.

From Jonah Goldberg:
The news that President Trump abandoned Republicans to strike a deal with congressional Democrats on a three-month extension of the debt limit yielded a predictable response from his predictable cheerleaders: It was brilliant and typically shrewd for the author of The Art of the Deal to take the very first offer the Democrats made and ask for nothing in return. 
Less obsequious observers on the right claimed that this was the long-prophesied moment. The seventh seal had been broken. Donald Trump was “pivoting” at last. “The pivot is real and it’s spectacular!” proclaimed Ben Domenech, the publisher of The Federalist. 
In the lexicon of Trumpism and anti-Trumpism, “pivot” has many meanings. But in this context, pivot means to reach across party lines and work with Democrats, giving the shaft to his own party, or at least to the conservatives in the GOP.
Such a move has been feared by many conservatives from the earliest days of Trump’s candidacy. The former New York Democrat holds no deep love for ideological conservatism, and many of his favorite issues — protectionism, infrastructure, etc. — are more naturally part of the Democratic portfolio.
This is the thinking in Washington. I thank Jonah Goldberg for his explanation. But bear in mind, Trump can do nothing right in the eyes of Never Trumpers. They want him to fail. The more they holler, the better I feel because they howl in pain.

Now we have to understand a few things.

Domenech signed off on that ineffectual "Against Trump" issue, which was a last minute attempt to stop history.

Its desperation (coming just before the Iowa Caucus) informed me that I indeed should proceed at full speed to write,"Trump the Press," which covered the nomination process.

But Domenech has come around while Goldberg hasn't.

Goldberg's history is flawed when he assigns infrastructure to Democrats.

Lincoln gave us transcontinental railroads and land-grant colleges, as well as the Homestead Act. If he had served more than five weeks of his second term, who knows what greatness he might have achieved.

Our Roosevelt gave us the Panama Canal.

Coolidge gave us the Hoover Dam, or at least began funding it.

Eisenhower gave us interstate highways and the St. Lawrence Seaway.

But what struck me about Goldberg's piece -- and he goes on to rail about Trump stabbing Republicans in the back -- was how over-the-top his objections were.

The disproportionate reaction informed me that it is being read in Washington far differently than it is in Poca, West Virginia.

So now I must pay attention and find out why it is important.

This was a minor agreement. Paul Ryan and Mitch McConnell wanted an 18-month delay on a debt ceiling vote. Nancy Pelosi and Chuck Schumer wanted a 3-month delay. Most Republicans voted for it as it passed the House 316-90, and the Senate 80-17.

This truly was a bipartisan effort.

Conrad Black put this in perspective:
As usual with President Trump’s more imaginative moves, the arrangement with the Democratic congressional leaders to defer the debt-ceiling issue for three months and pass hurricane relief at once was a more important step than it appears. The key element of it is that he has moved to higher and more defensible political ground. Since his inauguration, the president has been slugging it out with the Democratic congressional leadership, who promised and have delivered “scorched earth” and mindless obstructionism, while the House Republican leadership pompously imagined that it held the balance of power and would determine whether to drop the president like Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell’s famous “hot rock” or play along with him. Apparently oblivious to the total immersion they were giving themselves in public disrepute by failing to do anything while the country is screaming for action in every policy area, the Republican congressional majorities conducted what looked like a fractious work-to-rule. They collected their pay and their perquisites with clockwork precision, but they didn’t do anything. They held the balance between their president and the other side of their branch of government, they thought.
In short -- and Black never writes short -- Ryan and McConnell thought that if President Trump needed something from Congress, he had to go through them.

As Gomer Pyle said, "Surprise, surprise."

Which explains all the angst about the deal, which on the surface is no big deal. But in Washington turf matters more than money; President Trump crossed the aisle.

This was his plan all along. Black knows him.

But timing is everything in politics and comedy, and so our second show business president waited patiently for his moment.

Wrote Black:
Doesn’t anyone get it? McConnell and Ryan don’t hold the balance of power between the administration and the Democrats, and it isn’t a matter of a durable and late “pivot” by the president. His accusers have fallen on their faces and he is prepared to go easy on the Democrats if they will work with him in policy areas, especially tax reform, which he is bringing on now. He couldn’t have pivoted earlier, when the Democrats thought they could impeach him and were listening to the lunatics in Hollywood and the media. As the mood deescalates and the system finally starts to work, he will hold the balance of power between the congressional parties and factions, and he will use it.
Donald Trump is not the person pivoting.

Chuck Schumer and Nancy Pelosi are. And in response, and out of necessity, so are the Republicans.

This bodes well for the nation, and therefore President Trump.

I can see why that would upset those who want him to fail.

So now we have Democrat saying they reached a deal with President Trump on amnesty for illegal aliens.

President Trump has not said a word.

That is odd.

Or rather, that is expected because it is the Democrats who need to cut a deal, not President Trump. He does not have to grant amnesty to anyone. There is no law that compels him to do so.

He just gave Congress six months to pass such a law before he cracks down on the illegal aliens who Barack Obama protected.

Democrats are testing the water.

They want to see if they can convince him that Trump supporters are OK with this.

That would be a pretty big thing for President Trump to give up.

So what is it Democrats are giving up in return? Democrats are not saying, and reporters aren't asking.

The president's critics would have you believe that Donald Trump -- who wheeled and dealed his way to a multi-billion-dollar fortune -- sold out for three magic beans.

Trump's silence tells me President Trump is in charge. All the noise he has made for the past two years now amplifies his silence.

I have been calling his distractions a distraction for quite a while, as behind the scenes regulations are repealed, judges appointed, and bureaucracy is cut. There is a madness to his method, which is quite entertaining -- particularly when he gets the media to run around with its hair on fire.

What will happen on DACA? We shall see, but I think we already know this will not end well for his critics.

***

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22 comments:

  1. We tried amnesty once and got burned. Rather than legislate a new amnesty we need to enforce the law as written. DREAMERs can go back home and apply for reentry. They have already broken the law. If they want another chance they're going to have to obey it now. Life is tough. We'll see how many of them really want to become U.S. citizens and how many simply want to soak the taxpayers. - Elric

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  2. Early this a.m., L.com's top-o-the-Must-Reads headlines announced the same Schumer/Pelosi lie. People were freaking out claiming Trump was "back-stabbing his base" and they were washing their hands of him. So there!

    I didn't believe this for a NY second because it didn't come from President T himself. So I checked his twitter feed and found the truth. L.com has since changed those headlines top reflect the truth.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. No, his tweets say pretty much the same thing, just trying to put some lipstick on it.

      Face it - we've been had. We can be grateful to Trump for preventing a Hillary presidency, but after all we can be grateful to Stalin for stopping Hitler too, and that still doesn't make him the good guy.

      Delete
    2. The President tweeted this "No deal was made last night on DACA. Massive border security would have to be agreed to in exchange for consent. Would be subject to vote." he also said the wall is being built.

      I trust Donald Trump and MAGA.

      Delete
    3. Funny that you don't quote this one, also from Trump:

      "Does anybody really want to throw out good, educated and accomplished young people who have jobs, some serving in the military? Really!....."

      So what if the wall is built after that? It'll have already been outflanked. Might as well call it the Maginot-Trump Line.

      Delete
    4. Alex you want so badly to discredit Trump. Why? Try quoting his prior tweet: "The WALL, which is already under construction in the form of new renovation of old and existing fences and walls, will continue to be built."

      Trump has kept every campaign promise. He signaled during the campaign that he was on the fence about DACA. If he gets the wall built in exchange for letting some working, law abiding illegal children stay (less than 1,000,000) it will be worth it since the RINOs and Dems seem to be bound and determined to let ALL of them stay no matter what crimes they have committed.

      Delete
    5. No, I don't want to discredit Trump. I've been one of his supporters for quite some time now, and I would dearly like to believe that he'll do the right thing. But once the "for the children" shtick comes out, then it's all over. These ain't all children, they ain't all working or law-abiding (they actually still qualify as "dreamers" with a couple of felonies), and there are a lot more than 1 million of them (plus all the other ones who will then be brought in on grounds of "reuniting families" or whatever). Against all that, a wall is just symbolism - and that's even assuming that the wall will ever get built Tuesday in return for the DACA hamburger today.

      As for "kept every campaign promise" - really? Where are the indictments against Hillary & co., to name but one such "promise" with an expiration date?

      Delete
    6. Just remember, you can't make deals with Dimocrats. They renege on their end EVERY SINGLE TIME. Remember how both Reagan and Bush 41 were schlonged on taxes by Dimocrats? Raise taxes and we'll give you budget cuts. Taxes raised, no budget cuts. If Trump thinks he can trade DACA for the wall he is delusional. GOC

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  3. The dreamers are just another Trojan horse directed at the Constitution, the real citadel the left wishes to conquer and have been assaulting really since the Civil War, but with more intensity since LBJ. DACA looks to be a small wooden horse, hardly able to hide a soul within, but in actuality it contains a virus designed to replicate endlessly. How many other "immigrant citizens" will suddenly demand the same weeping empathy? Millions.
    When I go to the UK and the topic of muslim emigration comes up what is most striking is the passivity with which it is now discussed compared to 10 yrs ago. The greatness of the West is fading there,and they care not. Getting along with your enemy is more important, even if it means giving in to him. Ave atque Vale.

    ReplyDelete
  4. TAN but REL:

    Is Mitch "Feeling the Heat" bringing about a "Seeing the Light" moment?
    https://www.nytimes.com/2017/09/13/us/politics/mcconnell-federal-judges-trump.html

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  5. This is a shot across the bow for republican leadership. Status quo will change. If you want your solution to prevail better work with me because there will be a solution, not a kick the can down the road.

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  6. Republicans (Ryan in particular) to Trump, "Full amnesty, no negotiation, and we will work with D's to legislate amnesty."
    Democrats to Trump, "Full amnesty, but we will negotiate (hey, we never follow through on our part of the deal anyway)."
    Trump, "Fine, *#@! you, Ryan. I'm getting the best, if worthless, deal."
    --Reuben

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  7. Jonah is just having a hissy fit while NRO and the magazine are going down the tubes.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Jonah is just pissed cuz he can't afford to buy a pair of pants.

      Delete
    2. His wife is a DC lobbyist, and she's been wearing and paying for the pants in their family for some time now!
      -Fred

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  8. DACA is low-hanging fruit for the Democrats. There is wide support for allowing "dreamers" to stay because thru no fault of their own they grew up here. This way it goes in the books as a win for Trump instead of another massive fail for the GOP.

    Trading DACA for increased border security is a no-brainer. The important thing is to cut off the flow of illegals.

    "Politics is the art of the possible."

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Their parents will be the next dreamers with tearful reunions on every channel. On it will go, wall or no. From the propaganda being put out they apparently all 800k are on the verge of getting PhDs in math so I'm sure they will all be self sufficient, no worries.

      Delete
  9. How did illegal aliens get into the military? We should find their recruiters and court-martial them.

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    Replies
    1. Anyone serving in the military should be granted citizenship. GOC

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    2. I pretty much agree with you, GOC. But I still think their recruiters oughta be court-martialed. Too much sleazy stuff goes on between hello and the DD Form 4.

      Delete
  10. One of the finest human beings I know escaped from a Mexican orphanage at 16,illegally entered the US and joined the military, also ilegally at 16( his recruiters knew). He was sent to Korea in the infantry. After being blown out of a foxhole, and much repair work he returned as a citizen to work in the US. He worked like dog and raised a family I would be proud of.
    How many of our dweeb millennial citizens today would do the same I don't know. I'm against illegal immigration but like everything in life we sometimes see the flame of glory shining in a place where it is not supposed to be.

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    Replies
    1. Thank you for your insight. It ain't a black and white issue.

      Delete