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Friday, December 30, 2016

George Will is a House Conservative

President Trump drove George Will to madness, rendering his columns useless and his television appearances as unwatchable as The View.

From George Will:
It is axiomatic that if someone is sufficiently eager to disbelieve something, there is no Everest of evidence too large to be ignored. This explains today’s revival of protectionism, which is a plan to make America great again by making it 1953 again. 
This was when manufacturing’s postwar share of the labor force peaked at about 30 percent. The decline that began then was not caused by manufactured imports from today’s designated villain, China, which was a peasant society. Rather, the war-devastated economies of competitor nations were reviving. And, domestically, the age of highly technological manufacturing was dawning.
Now 1953, the year I was born, is liberal dog whistle racism, as it occurs a year before Brown v. Topeka Board of Education.

You see? All those "white" Republicans are going re-segregate schools.

Will's point is sophistry at its best. He argues that because agricultural employment fell in the first half of the 21st century thanks to technological advances, we should be able to tolerate a similar drop in manufacturing jobs.

History undermines his argument. Technological advances in manufacturing lead to more employment. 

A good example is Apple. When Steve Wozniak made them by hand, they cost $2,000 in 1975 money and sales were low.

When Apple put in an assembly line, prices dropped. Sales soared and employment at the plant did too.

What else happened? Sales and employment at the factories that made the components also soared. 

Forty years ago people did not need a computer. Now they need five, including iPhones and the like. Those five don't cost what that one computer did. 

Same thing happened with the cotton gin and looms. In 1790, you needed maybe two shirts. Forty years later, you needed five.

American demand for manufactured goods continues to rise. If you put all the factories in China, the nation is at China's mercy. We are losing our ability to make things. We've already forgotten how to put a man on the moon.

Protectionism is vital to the national defense. If we cannot make our own guns and ammo, we are at the mercy of those who can.

From Lincoln to McKinley to Reagan, protective tariffs were a conservative value.

Now it is not?

Baloney.

If manufacturing were as worthless as George Will would have you believe, why would China want it? The social upheaval from manufacturing threatens China's communistic regime, and yet its leaders risk that.

George Will at 75 is Jeff Bezos's House Conservative, as are Kathleen Parker and Jennifer Rubin. They offer stale half-hearted arguments but mainly exist to attack fellow conservatives with have-you-no-decency rants.

It is sickening.

It pays well.

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Please read "Trump the Press," in which I skewer media experts who wrongly predicted Trump would lose the Republican nomination. "Trump the Press" is available as a paperback, and on Kindle.

For an autographed copy, email me at DonSurber@GMail.com

Also, "Exceptional Americans" is available in paperback and on Kindle.

15 comments:

  1. House "Conservative?" I prefer the term "window dressing." - Elric

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. If he's in your window, close the curtain

      Delete
    2. I'd call him "that old guy who is a fake-right-winger" and works for the libs/progs.

      Delete
  2. George Will is a liberal in conservative's clothing. Liberals are always talking about how conservatives want to take this country back to the 1950's, though that usually means socially, because liberals are economically ignorant, no matter how many Nobel Prizes in Economics they've won. Now George lends them his gravitas or whatever.

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    Replies
    1. Yes but he says William Buckley a lot which gives him a free pass for everything

      Delete
  3. I am a manufacturing engineering with 40 years of experience. I would be able to spend millions in company capital for the company I am working for if the government would get out of the way. ROI is needed to spend capital money. With all the regs eating into a huge portion of the ROI and being taxed at 35% it's hard to get projects authorized.

    That means no capital flow which means no business for all the people involved in projects including the welders, electricians, material suppliers, fabricators, other engineers, factory labor, etc. Also, no projects no improvement in manufacturing inefficiencies no cost reduction, no sales increase no hiring of new people and NO WAGE INCREASES.

    Like I said, I am sitting on millions in potential projects right now and if Trump follows through with his promises; my millions in projects combined with many other engineer project managers like me will create a huge boom. If you are not in the stock market right now may I suggest you take the risk.

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    Replies
    1. A relative of mine is a teacher who apparently spends too much time absorbing horrendously slanted liberal news, and then says things to me like "I just don't get why all these businesses are just sitting on billions of dollars in the bank, why aren't they investing it?". I've tried explaining why, similar to the above. He seems to have no idea how the business world works, i.e. where investment only makes sense when the expected return on an investment is enough to make the risk worthwhile.

      Teachers and other government employees live in a fundamentally different world than those of us in the business world; for them, revenue always just flows in no matter what, and if costs exceed revenue, you go to the taxpayers and sing a sad song. There seems to be little or no understanding of the concept of risk or cutting costs because the business had a bad year or is not growing.

      Delete
  4. Will's first sentance describes him, himself, to a "T":

    It is axiomatic that if someone is sufficiently eager to disbelieve something, there is no Everest of evidence too large to be ignored.

    'Nuff said about Willie.

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  5. I'd say that those five computers and the truth being disseminated by bloggers has decreased the need for people like George Will and his pal Krauthammer. What they spew isn't even good for organic gardening. Yes, I'd like fries wit that Mr. Will.

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  6. If we send all our jobs overseas, nobody here will have money to buy all those cheap imports because we'll all be unemployed.

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  7. All this talk of manufacturing and engineering recalls to mind the Translation of the Laws of Thermodynamics.

    The Laws of Thermodynamics are usually written thus:

    Zeroth Law of Thermodynamics: If two systems are both in thermal equilibrium with a third system, then they are in thermal equilibrium with each other.

    First Law of Thermodynamics: When energy passes, as work, as heat, or with matter, into or out of a system, the system's internal energy changes in accord with the law of conservation of energy.

    Second Law of Thermodynamics: In a natural thermodynamic process, the sum of the entropies of the interacting thermodynamic systems increases.

    Third Law of Thermodynamics: The entropy of a system approaches a constant value as the temperature approaches absolute zero.

    Translation
    -----------

    Zeroth Law: There is shit.

    First Law: You can't get rid of it.

    Second Law: It only gets deeper.

    Third Law: A nice empty shitcan will never happen.

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  8. I have an off-the-wall stated-by-an-untrained-ignoramus (me) economic law, that seems right to me (the best I can do for a "proof").

    The amount of new wealth created in and by a system is a function of the amount of labor (as a percent of the total in the system) applied to raw materials.

    Corollary I: In a "service economy" (one with no internal manufacturing), the amount of wealth in that system is a constant.

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  9. So Don Surber is smarter than George Will? We all should make as much as George.

    But if George won't sing along with Donald, he is no good; no one should ever disagree with Donald.

    Well, there is this libertarian Econ Professor named Mark J. Perry who had the audacity to write: "Why Donald Trump won't be able to bring U.S. jobs back - unless he can negotiate with progress and technology."

    Not to worry. The article isn't much longer than the title but it has a bunch of wonderful graphs and such.

    Who knows maybe we can get Lost in the Fifties again, but I am not holding my breath.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. "So Don Surber is smarter than George Will? We all should make as much as George"

      By your logic doesn't that mean we can dismiss Will's argument because Trump makes more than Will does, or ever will?

      Delete
  10. "So Don Surber is smarter than George Will? We all should make as much as George."

    But, also, we all should not be as despised as George Will...at 75.

    That is all.

    ReplyDelete