Meanwhile, Real Clear Politics has had to eat nearly half its Electoral College Map as in less than a week it has gone from saying Hillary was winning in a cakewalk to a more realistic nail-biter.
On October 29 (last Saturday) Real Clear Politics had it a cinch for Hillary with a lead of 272 to 126, in a race where you need 270 to win.
Last night -- just six days later -- Real Clear Politics quietly realigned the race to a tossup with Hillary leading 216 to 164. They changed the status of seven states just four days before the election. That sort of volatility belies the summer-long assurance that Hillary Clinton would win big.
She may still win big, but with three days to go, the media cannot be sure. Even Nate Silver, who at this point in the 2012 race gave Obama a 90 percent chance is giving Trump a 35 percent chance.
From the Washington Post:
The electoral map is definitely moving in Donald Trump’s direction
The last week has been a tough one for Hillary Clinton. October 28's announcement by FBI Director James Comey that emails considered “pertinent” to the investigation into Clinton's use of a private email server had been discovered accelerated a bump in Donald Trump's poll numbers that had begun before that news hit.
National polling was the first to tighten — the WaPo-ABC Tracking Poll showed the Democratic presidential candidate up three points on Friday — but swing-state polling has followed suit. CNN, as of Friday morning, even had Clinton below 270 electoral votes for the first time in a long time.
We at The Fix aren't there just yet. But we are making three changes in our electoral-map ratings — all of which favor Trump.
The biggest move is Ohio — from “toss-up” to “lean Republican.” The Buckeye State, which went for Barack Obama in each of his two races, has long been one of the friendlier swing states for Trump, thanks in large part to its older and whiter (as compared with the country as a whole) population. The last two polls in the state have shown Trump up five points, and the RealClearPolitics polling average gives the Republican nominee a 3.3-point edge. That fits more with our “lean” category than our “toss-up” one. Clinton isn't giving up on the state, however — she'll be in Cleveland on Sunday.
We're also moving Arizona from “toss-up” to “lean Republican.” The state appears to have reverted back to its default partisanship in the aftermath of the Comey announcement; Trump has led in the last five polls in the state, including leads of five points in the last two surveys.
Finally, we are moving New Hampshire from “lean Democratic” to “toss-up.” Like Ohio and Arizona, the Granite State has inched toward Trump over the past week and is now among the closest races in the country. Two of the three most recent polls conducted in New Hampshire have shown a dead heat.Arizona was never in doubt, nor was Utah nor Texas for good grief.
The American press lies to the American people regularly -- continually -- to push an agenda aimed at expanding the central government and its control over the people.
That is why the press pushed the lie that there was widespread denial of health insurance to "millions" of people. The truth is most of the 20 million (not 47 million) people without health insurance did not want it, or were already covered by Medicaid but had not bothered signing up for it.
We know that now because eight million people pay the fine rather than buy health insurance, and millions more signed up for Medicaid.
Global warming is the same deal.
Tuesday is Judgment Day. Six months ago, I wanted Hillary to suffer the humiliation of a big defeat. No more. I will be more happy when the pie of the truth smacks the press between the eyes.
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