The Los Angeles Times poll is not like the others as it uses a system developed by RAND Corporation. RAND Corporation had the most accurate tracking poll in 2012. It consistently showed Obama up and its final number was a 3.8-point win for Obama, who won by 3.9.
The USC Dornsife/LA Times Presidential Election "Daybreak" Poll is part of the ongoing Understanding America Study: (UAS) at the University of Southern California’s (USC) Dornsife Center for Economic and Social Research, in partnership with the Jesse M. Unruh Institute of Politics and the Los Angeles Times. Every day, we invite one-seventh of the members of the UAS election panel to answer three predictive questions: What is the percent chance that… (1) you will vote in the presidential election? (2) you will vote for Clinton, Trump, or someone else? and (3) Clinton, Trump or someone else will win? As their answers come in, we update the charts daily (just after midnight) with an average of all of the prior week’s responses. To find out more about what lies behind the vote, each week we also ask respondents one or two extra questions about their preferences and values. The team responsible for the USC Dornsife/LA Times Presidential Election Poll four years ago developed the successful RAND Continuous Presidential Election Poll, which was based on the same methodology.The FBI investigation Hillary looks like only a small break for Trump. He was up 2.4 on Friday and a 3.4 lead this morning is not a huge increase in his lead.
However, this boosts confidence among Trump supporters, and sows doubt among Hillary's supporters. She is running out of time and avenues to catch up.
The October Surprise by the FBI is prophylactic in that it mutes any counter-surprise by the Clinton Camp. Plus, this is a legitimate surprise that comes from an agency of a government controlled by Clinton's own party.
At any rate, Trump's lead is solidifying in the most accurate poll we have. That is good news for his supporters, and great news for America.
Please read "Trump the Press," a fun romp through the Republican nomination that uses the deadliest weapon to skewer the media experts: their own words. "Trump the Press" is available as a paperback, and on Kindle.