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Wednesday, October 19, 2016

Trump takes lead in IBD poll for the first time

For the first time this year, Trump leads the Investors Business Daily tracking poll, 41.3% to 40%.

From Investors Business Daily:
The IBD/TIPP poll previously was monitoring support for the candidates in the 2016 election on a monthly basis. The new results are Trump's best showing in months. The poll also found that in a two-way matchup, Clinton is up by 3 points — 43.6% to 40.6% — which represents a slight gain from September, when Clinton was ahead 44% to 43%.
"From the results, it looks as if Gary Johnson and Jill Stein are drawing more support away from Clinton than Trump," said Ragavan Mayur, president of TechnoMetrica Market Intelligence, which conducts the poll.
These results are far closer than the Real Clear Politics average, which currently has Clinton up 6.2 points in the four-way poll and by 6.6 points in a two-way match-up.
What's more, Trump scores higher on voter intensity, with 67% of his backers saying they strongly support him, compared with 58% of Clinton supporters who say they strongly back their candidate.
Of course, it is a four-way match-up. I doubt the numbers for Johnson or Stein will hold.

This is a random digit dial poll in which they call and call until someone answers and agrees to the survey.

The idea that "all" the polls agree she will win is false. Unless the Hillary polls show dramatic improvement from 2012 and the primaries, I wil not endorse a one.

@@@

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6 comments:

  1. How many or us, I ask again, would truthfully tell a pollster who we'll vote for, IF we even picked up the phone?

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Correct, Sam. If my cell phone rings and I don't recognize the number, I'm like, peace out. Leave me a message if this is something of substance. It never happens.

      Delete
    2. I hang up on them.

      Delete
  2. We seem to be looking at a trend.

    It also figures, the closer we get, the more the numbers for Johnson and Stein.

    ReplyDelete
  3. Another rigged poll.

    ReplyDelete
  4. Put not your trust in polls. The only one that matters is Election Day. A lot of sharp eyes will need to be kept on where the votes are coming from and who is counting them. - Elric

    ReplyDelete