The Los Angeles Times poll showed Trump has a six-point lead over Hillary today after a tie on Monday. Her 9-11 collapse is not the reason. Trump's enjoyed a surge in black support.
The poll showed Trump has nineteen percent of the black vote, and thirty-one percent among Latinos. Among white people the support is fifty-five percent. Both the Latino and white support are in the mid range of his support.
But African-American support for Trump shot up this week from five percent to nineteen.
[NOTE: After I posted this on Thursday, black support in the poll reached twenty percent by Sunday.]
This is not a one-off. The Rasmussen Poll showed Trump support is at twenty-three percent among black people, forty-three among white people, and fifty-three among others.
Both polls may be outliers, but they could show that Washington wisdom about Trump turning off black and Hispanic voters is plain wrong. At worse, Trump is doing as poorly among non-white groups as Mitt Romney. For example, Reuters has Trump's black vote at nine percent, Hispanic thirty-five.
At best, Trump's America First and Law-and-Order messages resonate among decent people who live in crime-ridden neighborhoods, be they black, white, or brown. As he says, what the hell do you have to lose?
My contention is pandering is a mistake. Just as white people reject Democrat-lite, so do people of other racial backgrounds. Trump has offered an alternative to the Democratic Party's pandering, and it looks as if that may gain traction.
But what do I know? I am a white person living in a small rural white town of 1,200 nice people and me.
I do know that betting against Washington wisdom is the safest way to play this. We shall see what will transpire on Election Day.
My new book, "Trump the Press," is a fun romp that stomps Washington wisdom.
Please purchase "Trump the Press" through Create Space.
The book also available in Kindle and as a paperback on Amazon.
Autographed copies area available. Email me at DonSurber@GMail.com for details.