Two months ago, Daniel Henninger wrote:
I think, Donald Trump simply can’t win in Ohio [without] John Kasich.
John Kasich is still steamed.
As of this week, Gov. Kasich was not even going to appear at the Cleveland convention center. Speaking to a Cleveland TV station last week, he said he’s still waiting for Mr. Trump, like Saul on the road to Damascus, to undergo a political conversion: “If it doesn’t come, then I probably will not find my way towards endorsing.”
As these columns noted recently, among the perils of routinely insulting one’s political opponents in public is they never forget. That could be a problem for Donald Trump because Ohio is a turnout state. To win, you must flush out every possible voter.In rebuttal, I wrote:
There is no doubt that Kasich is the most liked governor of Ohio in my lifetime, even exceeding Jim Rhodes.
But Trump can win without him. Trump kept Kasich below 50% in the Ohio primary. And Romney lost Ohio despite Kasich's support in 2012. He's a governor, not a magician.Now CNN has a new poll out. Trump is up outside the margin of error in Ohio, by four points among registered voters, and by five among likely voters
That is in a four-way race. In a two-way, he is up by three among registered voters, four among likely voters.
The numbers can and will change between now and November 8. Of that there is no question. But the poll refutes -- not rebuts, but refutes -- the notion that Trump needs Kasich in order to take the Buckeye State.
Portman is up by 21 among likely voters in his re-election effort against former Governor Ted Strickland, which may help Trump. However, the real point is down ballot means nothing. The public sees them as two different races.
Oh, and Trump's favorables beat Hillary's.
The poll was taken September 7-12.
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