Today, CNN reported Clinton has ceded Ohio to Trump, even though Trump has only inched slightly higher than her in the polls to an average lead of 1.8 points. Silver now gives Trump a 61 percent chance.
Nevertheless, Jeff Zeleny of CNN said this morning:
“It’s been 20 days since Hillary Clinton stepped foot into this classic battleground state, and she’s not expected to visit it again in the month of September. That is a nod to the political reality they’re facing her campaign. She is struggling mightily among white voters.”Uh-oh, Spaghetti-Os.
Ohio ain't exactly lily white. African-Americans make up 12 percent of its population, which is slightly under the national average of 12.6 percent.
However, Ohio is 83.2 percent white, which is above the national average of 77.7 percent.
If the white vote is enough to flip Ohio, then it may be enough to flip the nation. Big league.
But something else is going on. Republican Senator Rob Portman is so far ahead in his re-election race -- a double digit lead -- that the national Democratic Party has pulled stakes. This was a state they thought they would pick off just six months ago.
Let's go back to that last visit. Both Clinton and Trump campaigned there on Labor Day. She drew hundreds in Cleveland. He drew thousands in Canfield, which is an exit on Interstate 77 just south of Cleveland.
She is a terrible campaigner, and an expensive one. The Clinton Election Machine is sucking up donor dollars, and that hurts Senate campaigns -- although I think Strickland's career of failures and gubernatorial disaster sank him. Bob Evans campaigned against the guy 20 years ago. Bob Evans! His only politics were Buckeye football.
Meanwhile her Electoral College map is shrinking as her national poll numbers sink. I have said over and over again, the Electoral College map is for entertainment purposes only. Trump wins by 2 percent or more nationally, he is in.
She can win without Ohio.
But I doubt it.
My new book, "Trump the Press," is a fun read that details how the experts missed the rise of Trump. Remember how they said Trump was just running to help Hillary? Read the reviews in the right column.
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