A Fox News poll released on Wednesday showed Clinton with an 11-point lead over Trump, while a CBS/New York Times poll published earlier this week found Clinton with a 10-point lead over Trump. A Bloomberg survey on Wednesday put the gap even wider, with Clinton leading Trump by 18 points.
-- Maxwell Tani, March 24, 2016
That was then. Her lead is melting like the Wicked Witch of the West encountered that bucket of water.
"Notably, in five months, Clinton’s lead over Trump in the Bloomberg poll has shrunk from 18-points to within the margin of error," Sharyl Attkinson (formerly of CBS News) reported.
There are a couple of things at work here. Many Republicans still held out hope that someone else would win the nomination. Trump wound up with 500 more delegate votes than the required 1,237 minimum. Now Republican's rank and file have rallied behind him. He gets 87 of the Republican vote in the latest Bloomberg poll.
But she went from an overwhelming majority of 54 percent to an underwhelming 47 percent, while he rose from 36 percent to 44 percent. He is winning independents.
In the most recent poll, the spread between Clinton and Trump in a two-person race was down to just 3 percentage points, Clinton at 45% and Trump at 42%. That’s within the margin of error. When Libertarian and Green Party candidates are put in the mix, it’s Clinton 42% and Trump 40% –again within the margin of error.
But this notable trend isn’t reflected in the Bloomberg write-up here. Instead, the reporter chose to use the poll numbers that look better for Clinton: ones that added in “leaners.” What are leaners? Respondents who were first asked who they’d vote for, then answered they didn’t plan to vote or didn’t know who they’d vote for, and then were pressed to pick a candidate they were leaning toward, anyway. This is how Bloomberg got to the 6-point spread cited in its headline…double the actual spread of 3%.The media is in an all-out war on Trump.
Nixon couldn't survive one. Reagan's was not as bad. I would say that the conservative press is against Trump -- except the conservative press was just a façade for lobbyist-paid hucksters at National Review, Fox News and other outlets. For example, Jonah Goldberg actually works for the American Enterprise Institute -- a tax-exempt group funded by bored millionaires and special interests. But Trump is made of sterner stuff. He will not just survive this; he will prevail. (My nod to Faulkner.)
And yes, I am making new friends this year. Mine eyes are opened wide. Those who deride America First are not patriots and they can go to hell -- and they can take Erick Erickson with them. I have no intention of making up after the election with those who hate America. You can be against Trump without being an -- well, it rhymes with glass bowl.
Anyway, the polls are not fixed. He's down and a three-point loss is still a loss. But the reporting is what is awful. Don't let the reporting bother you. Trailing by the margin of error in August is merely motivation -- especially when Trump was down 18 points in March.
Make no mistake, this election is on Trump. He can and is rallying the nation behind him.
"Trump the Press: Don Surber's take on how the pundits blew the 2016 Republican race" is available as a paperback. Please order here.
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