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Monday, May 02, 2016

West Virginia was Trump territory -- in 2011

Blame West Virginia for Donald Trump.

We were the first state to go for Trump.

From Public Policy Polling:
West Virginia marks the first state where we've found Donald Trump leading the GOP Presidential field -- he gets 24% there, tying him at the top with Mike Huckabee. Sarah Palin is third with 13%, followed by Mitt Romney at 11%, Newt Gingrich at 9%, Tim Pawlenty at 4%, and Michele Bachmann and Ron Paul at 3%.
We polled the Republican race in West Virginia in January too. With Trump now in the picture Huckabee is down 4 points from his standing on that previous poll, Palin has dropped 10 points, and Gingrich has fallen 8 points. Romney is actually up a point- you have to wonder if a Trump candidacy could actually end up being a blessing in disguise for Romney. 
The folks who Trump appeals to by and large just aren't going to be particularly open to voting for Romney -- so if Trump's in the race and helping to fracture the far right vote among a number of different candidates that gives Romney more of an opening to win in places even where he doesn't do that well with conservative voters. West Virginia's not somewhere Romney's likely to win regardless of the field but when you see him staying steady while everyone else goes down because of Trump you see where it could be a plus for him in the long run.
That's right. West Virginians were for Trump four years before Trump entered the presidential race. The poll was conducted April 21 to April 24, 2011.

But eventually the state warmed up to Romney. He took all 55 counties in the 2012 general election -- the first Republican to do so.

Our primary is Tuesday, May 10. I already voted for Trump.


  1. Big D, lemme put it to ya this way...Almost Heaven has become THE bellwether of American politics. Call us hicks and hillbillies all you want, with the now-tired jokes about missing teeth and incest. WE KNOW WHAT WE'RE DOING up here as far as candidates go. It's called common sense. Oh, and thanks for having the eggs to back Trump back when it was uncool and improper. At this point, you are being proved a prophet...

  2. Thanks. I'm at 70,000 words on the book.

    1. I'm all in. My Amazon finger shall await its release!

  3. Write On, Write On, Write ON! (Oh, them '60s.)

  4. I don't think West Virginia necessarily "warmed" to Romney. I never did. They just had to choose between the lesser of two evils. - Elric