Remember how Charles Krauthammer said if Trump won the nomination he could lose like Goldwater? National polls today confirm that once again, Krauthammer may have gotten Trump's chances wrong again.
Real Clear Politics Average of national polls shows Trump up 0.4 points over Hillary Clinton.
The score is Trump 44.0, Clinton 43.6.
Bernie Sanders leads Trump by something or another. I don't care.
OK, OK, OK. It is a 11.2-point lead, 50.6 to 39.4.
The real matchup is Trump-Clinton:
The ABC/Washington Post Poll taken May 16-19 of 829 registered voters has Trump up by two 46-44.
The Rasmussen Poll taken May 17-18 of 1,000 likely voters has Trump up by five 42-37.
The Fox News Poll taken May 14-17 of 1,021 registered voters has Trump up by three 45-39.
The CBS/New York Times Poll taken May 13-17 of 1,109 registered voters has Trump down by six 41-47.
The Graves Poll taken May 10 of 1,574 registered voters has Trump down by two 46-48.
On December 12, Krauthammer said: "I think quite reasonably the Republicans think that if Trump is the nominee, this would be a Goldwater scenario all over again. They could be wrong. But it’s a reasonable idea. If you think so, you would want to get a consensus candidate. I don’t see it as being illegitimate. But it would be a long shot. Because if you go in with a big plurality, it will look as if it’s being stolen from you."
That was reasonable.
Meanwhile, the Washington Post buried the lead in its report of its own poll, headlining the story: "Poll: Election 2016 shapes up as a contest of negatives."
We already knew that. What we did not know is that Trump climbed from 9 points down in the ABC/Post poll in March to a 2-point lead -- an 11-point swing in two months.
That was reported in the fifth paragraph.
Yes, his led is in the margin of error, but Clinton was supposed to sweep him in November. Maybe she will. Maybe it is 1964 and she is LBJ's illegitimate daughter. We could call her Hillary Bird.
If she gets by Bernie first.