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Saturday, April 23, 2016

Why Cruz

As I write this, Real Clear Politics reports that Ted Cruz is behind by 10 points in the national polls. Cruz is down by 286 delegates. Cruz is down by 2.3 million voters. Cruz is behind by 7 in Indiana, down by 19 in Pennsylvania, down by 17 (and in third place) in Maryland, and down by 26 (and in third place) in California.

So why does he fight on?

I don't know. I have not a clue. I was hoping readers would tell me.

19 comments:

  1. He is thinking long term. If Trump loses to HC he will be next in line by default. If he wins he will get some position of influence perhaps. Trump could still implode so he has to be there. The "true" conservative never T cannot give him up either. If he stops he becomes irrelevant,for a politican the end of days. He has to go back to his $20 haircut, a phrase he coined.

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    1. No, whomever comes next, it will not be him. That sort of thing is for the Whigs, not Conservatives. America has seen him and doesn't like him.

      His career in politics is over. I don't think even TX will elect him again.

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    2. Most Politicians have too much ego to think of themselves as finished after coming so close to glory( and indeed it isn't "over over") . The senate conflicts will put him to be on the front page everyday if Clinton gets in, fighting for every inch, (or so he will say) I don't think he is going anywhere soon. But I agree he is not too likeable, at least in his present iteration. He is kind of an angry fighter but lacks a mob now large enough to be effective, for better or for worse.

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    3. His "Senate conflicts" were for show. He'll go back to being the go along to get along he was in his first year.

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  2. If Trump doesn't gain the magic 1,235 delegates, it goes to a second ballot where the delegates can vote their conscience. That's Cruz's only hope. How many of the 286 delegates that Cruz is behind has he "stolen" for a second ballot?

    To paraphrase Bush, Cruz has to destroy democracy in order to preserve it.

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    1. He still needs another 700 to get the nod. Where do they come from?

      America has gotten a good look at him and they do not like him.

      The guy is toxic now, mostly by his own doing.

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    2. 1237 is the number I recall.

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  3. https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Republican_Party_presidential_primaries,_1980

    Those who do not learn from history are condemned to repeat it.

    I'll toss this out and see what people think: Donald will win the general, serve four years, and then decide Been There Done That...time to move on. By then the economy will have recovered - thanks to his policies - and his VP will be the logical choice for President in 2020.

    That's what Cruz is thinking. Despite all the mudslinging, I'm still holding out hope for a Trump-Cruz ticket. He'd be Prez eight years because the Democrat Party now consists of geezers who wear Depends and Millenials who wear grotesque clothes. Easy peasy...

    It's Kasich who oughta leave. Just my opinion...

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    1. Agree on a one term Trump Administration. He'd be 74, but no Trump/Cruz. Too much bad blood.

      Maybe Trump/Sessions or Trump/Lee. He'll need a Conservative who's known and liked on the hill.

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    2. If it's not Trump/Cruz I think Trump will lose to Hillary by 8-10 points.

      Bet ya a Moon Pie.

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  4. He was sure he could be clever and poach the delegates he needed. He was sure, when he explained it to America, they would see how brilliant he was.

    Neither has worked - although the rules were more to help a Jeb! who might need 40 or 50 delegates in a pinch, not 800.

    Now the guy who has had to prove to everyone how smart he is has come up short and he can't believe it. He will ride it down to the ground.

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  5. I agree that somehow not-to-be-trusTED Cruz is hoping to be the default nominee, because according to this delegate...

    'Go ahead, Donald, get 1,237; it won't matter:
    'Curly Haugland, a longstanding RNC official and an unbound delegate from North Dakota who will be on the convention rules committee in July, told CNBC that attaining 1,237 during the primaries does not secure the nomination.
    '"Even if Trump reaches the magic number of 1,237 the media and RNC are touting, that does not mean Trump is automatically the nominee," Haugland said. "The votes earned during the primary process are only estimates and are not legal convention votes. The only official votes to nominate a candidate are those that are cast from the convention floor."'

    The RNC/GOPe can deny it all they want, but the system is rigged.

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    1. Haugland is a mindless lout and reminds me of what Louis XVI wrote in his diary the day the Bastille fell.

      "Nothing important. Hunting was terrible."

      And Cruz is in for a shock because morons like Haugland have already figured out how to doublecross him.

      If they try to pull something, Cleveland is within easy 2 days drive (max) of practically anywhere east of the Mississippi. He will see who is really in charge.

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  6. If he stays in the race, he probably won’t win.

    If he leaves the race, he definitely won’t win.

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  7. I recently picked up an old American classic and have enjoyed reading it for a number of reasons.

    It is well written.
    The proper use of the English language is employed, in an era when the ideas of people of thought were judged, and accepted or dismissed based on the mastery of their chosen language.

    This particular treat that I am in the middle of reading is by James Fenimore Cooper (1789-1851), written in 1826 and titled 'The Last of the Mohicans'.
    It is part of a series of five books known as the Leatherstocking stories.

    I won't delve too deeply into it, though one paragraph which I found most pertinent and could be applied to our mostly lack of moral character in present times leaped out at me from almost two centuries past.

    It could be easily applied to the political atmosphere which dominates modern America and most of western society on the whole.

    A quick primer in order to set the scene.

    The story takes place in the eighteenth century during the time of the continental wars between the French and the British. America as a free country did not yet exist.
    The British commander of a small frontier fort on the upper Hudson River is surrounded by superior numbers of the French army. His expected help from outside British forces in order to save his position are not to be and a messenger bearing this bitter news is dispatched to him but is intercepted by the French army under General Montcalm.
    Montcalm to his credit arranges to meet with Munro, the fort commander and relays the bad news about the lack of forthcoming British reinforcements to the Colonel's cause.
    Montcalm goes on to convince Munro that he loses no honour nor respect by capitulating to superior French forces without the firing of a single shot.
    He tells the British commander that he may vacate the fort with his soldiers, his people, his flag and his full honour intact.

    After much soul searching the old warhorse acquiesces and arranges the departure.

    What Montcalm doesn't tell him is that Munro and his retinue are fair game for slaughter by the thousands of Indian allies to the French who are lurking in the woods waiting for the British in their moment of vulnerability while trekking back to civilization.

    A huge number of them are indeed massacred.

    Directly quoted from Cooper's own pen:

    "The bloody and inhumane scene rather incidentally mentioned than described in the preceding chapter is conspicuous in the pages of colonial history by the merited title of " The Massacre of William Henry." It so far deepened the stain which a previous and very similar event had left upon the reputation of the French commander that it was not entirely erased by his early and glorious death. It is now becoming obscured by time; and thousands who know that Montcalm died like a hero on the Plains of Abraham have yet to learn how much he was deficient in that moral courage without which no man can truly be great. Pages might be written to prove, from this illustrious example, the defects of human excellence; to show how easy it is for generous sentiments, high courtesy, and chivalrous courage to lose their influence beneath the chilling blight of selfishness, and to exhibit to the world a man who was great in all the minor attributes of character, but who was found wanting when it became necessary to prove how much principle is superior to policy."

    Ted Cruz, and his handling of personal issues, and of the delegate issue... and the massive justification of those tactics by many learned people, and Ted particularly, comes to mind when I read this truly great passage by a truly honourable writer.

    Ted has much to learn in my humble opinion.

    I apologize for the length Don.

    Sam C

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  8. Picture President Trump selecting Cruz for SCOTUS and Trey Gowdy for AG!

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  9. Gah! At this point, I'm writing my own name in. I'm less GOPe than either Trump or Cruz, having never donated to any Republican at any level in any election ever. Unlike Trump the Republican establishment hasn't even heard of me, so they won't see me coming.

    So this election is turning out to be just like all the previous one. Shut up and vote for the crap-sandwich who doesn't agree with any of your values.

    Trump/Sanders. You heard it here first.

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