But the one thing is clear: The establishment is dead. Rubio Jebbed. He has won but 1 of the first 19 states. The race is now between the antidisestablishmentarians of the Republican Party: Cruz and Trump. the party hates both, which another reason I like them.
Don't take my word for it. Others are saying it.
Whilst I want foreigners to butt out of our election, I do acknowledge that many of them have insights into our politics that deserve repeating. There is much wisdom in their words.
You can tell -- because they agree with me. Take this guy's take on the Republican Establishment.
"Is the Republican party really theirs any more? Or is it undergoing the sort of change the Tory party underwent in the Eighties, when Mrs Thatcher attracted vast numbers with no heritage of voting Conservative? It smells like that," Simon Heffer of the Telegraph wrote today.
The Tories hated candidate Thatcher just as much as Republicans hated candidate Reagan.
Now antidisestablishmentarianism refers to 19th century opponents of the disestablishment of the Church of England by liberals, so my use of antidisestablishmentarian is figurative. The Washington Establishment seeks to continue to disestablish Republicans as the Party of Reagan. None of their candidates from Jeb to Rubio would have supported Reagan in 1980. Cruz and Trump carry parts of his mantle. Cruz the conservatism; Trump the ability to win over independents and Democrats.
The pattern (imperfect) is Cruz wins closed primaries and caucuses, and Trump wins the open ones. Cruz is better organized, but Trump wins converts to the cause.
Trump is electable according to Heffer:
A distinguished professor at an Ivy League university told me last week that Mr Trump’s impetus comes from the fact that real wages for the average American have not risen since the mid-Seventies. President after president has promised to change this, but failed. Some have elevated America’s standing in the world – Ronald Reagan remains beloved of both Republicans and Democrats for that reason – but economic nirvana remains elusive. Mr Trump’s constituency of predominantly white working-class and lower-middle class voters have had enough, and want a different leadership.
Mr Trump endures almost universal abuse and ridicule on television and in most of the press. His family’s original name – Drumpf – has become a national joke. Endless clips are broadcast of him contradicting himself. He is branded an “extremist” and a “loose cannon”. Mr Romney – who begged for Mr Trump’s endorsement in 2012 – called him “a phoney, a fraud” who would prompt a recession and endanger national security. The liberal media vilify him – the New York Daily News last Wednesday published a feature on countries where people might emigrate should “The Donald” be elected.
However, the more the elite in politics and the media attack him – however merited their attacks may be – the higher his ratings go. Groups who abjured him now embrace him. Evangelicals – a significant constituency – have pledged support, despite Mr Trump’s being a pro-abortion secularist who is on his third wife. They share his belief that the economy needs radical change, and America must be great again.Now of course, readers know this. You are the smartest people in the world, far smarter than me. I learn far more from my readers than I inform them.
Heffer concluded: "The revolt here against the political class may only just have started. Not long ago none of us thought Mr Trump would get the nomination. We were probably wrong. Now, everybody – led by Republican grandees – thinks Mrs Clinton will obliterate him. We could be wrong again. The fight is portrayed as establishment versus anti-establishment. But it also one of reason against emotion, and it is far from clear reason will prevail."
A Trump-Cruz ticket would seize and unite the party in July, and cleanse America of the stained blue dress of Clintontude.
Oh and if I prove prophetic and live to be my mother's age (and it continues to rise) I will be around to remind another generation that the establishment hated Reagan -- and Trump.