I have no real idea who will win the November election. There is a great deal of conservative opposition to Trump receiving the GOP nomination.Some of it is hostile and unremitting; some of it is honest enough to give Trump his due.Weekly Standard and "Right in San Francisco", to take two examples, have both acknowledged that Trump is attacking Hillary Clinton in ways that more timid Republicans have refused in the past -- turning the War on Women against her and so on.And they acknowledged that he is receiving support from quarters that have not offered same to GOP candidates in the past (i.e., minorities, white working-class voters who stayed home in 2012, etc.)Then, in the same breath, they'll say, "But he's the weakest of the GOP candidates and the one most likely to lose to Hillary in November".I honestly don't understand that reasoning, and they have not offered clarification of it.
And they acknowledged that he is receiving support from quarters that have not offered same to GOP candidates in the past (i.e., minorities, white working-class voters who stayed home in 2012, etc.)That would be because they have been ignored, and their concerns ignored. That horrible no-good nasty Mr. Trump is not ignoring them and their concerns.
Go back and re-read one of Surber's posts about the white vote, the one in which he cites a George Will posting how Romney and McCain won just as much as the "white male" vote as the Bushes and Reagan. Obama and Clinton won elections by dominating the minority vote and this is playing into the hands of Hillary and Sanders. That is why Trump will lose. Just cause he has the loudest following doesn't mean he has the largest following. Remember, Mr. Anti-Government H. Ross Perot was leading Clinton and Bush in many polls back in the day. But once the actual voting began, we all know what unfolded then.
As I've said before the early bird gets the worm but the second mouse gets the cheese. Trump is the first mouse and he will get caught in the trap. Cruz is the second mouse who will come by and take the cheese.
Oh please, no more mice. They are rat and ratty tat tat -- and that is what America needs now. No Merkels please
Hillary's speech cadence is just so...it's like she got out of a basic Public Speaking course and hasn't had any further instruction or practice in how to make her voice flow.I can see her, standing at the lectern*, gripping the sides with both hands, and reading her speech, occasionally looking up when she reads *look up and smile side to side*.Is anyone sure she isn't an alien replicant?*You stand on a podium, the lectern is what the book or your notes rest on.-Mikey NTH
If sulking, anti-Trump GOP voters stay home in droves, Hillary could win despite the defections by traditional Democrat voters over to the Trumpster. The election could turn on how many Jeb Bush-type Republicans choose to stay home on election day. That's not Trump's fault, but you can bet the GOP establishment will blame him.
The great Mark Steyn went to a Trump rally in New Hampshire of all places:--Trump has no prompters. He walks out, pulls a couple of pieces of folded paper from his pocket, and then starts talking. Somewhere in there is the germ of a stump speech, but it would bore him to do the same poll-tested focus-grouped thing night after night, so he basically riffs on whatever's on his mind. This can lead to some odd juxtapositions: One minute he's talking about the Iran deal, the next he detours into how Macy's stock is in the toilet since they dumped Trump ties. But in a strange way it all hangs together: It's both a political speech, and a simultaneous running commentary on his own campaign.It's also hilarious. I've seen no end of really mediocre shows at the Flynn in the last quarter-century, and I would have to account this the best night's entertainment I've had there with the exception of the great jazz singer Dianne Reeves a few years back. He's way funnier than half the stand-up acts I've seen at the Juste pour rires comedy festival a couple of hours north in Montreal. And I can guarantee that he was funnier than any of the guys trying their hand at Trump Improv night at the Vermont Comedy Club a couple of blocks away. He has a natural comic timing.--http://www.steynonline.com/7408/notes-on-a-phenomenon
Actually, the reference to New Hampshire in the first paragraph refers to an event that pre-dated the events in Steyn's article.The events in Steyn's article actually took place in a rally in Vermont.That Trump could draw such an enthusiastic reception in Bernie Sanders's backyard is even more impressive than if it had happened in New Hampshire.
As the future of Western Civilisation depends on America deciding that it's time to flex its undoubtedly superior muscle, here's a Brit who hopes that Trump wins the nomination and whups the arse of the HillBilliary mob.Europe is already a goner. Having lived under Uncle Sam's umbrella for at least 76 or so of my 82 years on Earth, I have a vested interest in The Donald's victory. Don't pay attention to the recent YouGov poll and the 500k alleged Brits who signed a petition to have Trump gated from the UK. Or the anti-Trump MSM. They are all either Muzzies of Commies. Go Donald!