Monday, January 18, 2016
Cruz dropped 6 points in Iowa Poll (still leads)
I have downplayed polls this presidential election cycle because Gallup gave up on them. But they help sell newspapers, which is why the Des Moines Register still runs its Iowa Poll. It is wildly inaccurate and volatile. In August, Scott Walker was running second in the Iowa Poll, but he dropped out nonetheless.
Let us look at the Iowa Poll then.
The latest Iowa Poll shows Cruz 25%, Trump 22%, Rubio 12%, Carson 11%, et cetera.
The previous one had Cruz 31%, Trump 21% -- a drop of 6 points for Cruz.
The one before that had Carson 28%, Trump 19%.
Before that: Trump 23%, Carson 18%.
So one consistency is Trump gets 19% to 23%.
The other is that no matter how Trump soars in the national polls, he s always in that 19% to 23% range, while the others rise and fall in synchronization with their national polls.
We shall see, shall we not?