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Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Trump beats Jeb and Rubio combined in Florida



I like when political reporters miss the point entirely. Anthony Man of the Sun Sentinel in Florida wrote, "Marco Rubio has overtaken Jeb Bush among Florida Republicans, as he benefits from positive reviews of his performance in the most recent presidential debate."

The headline said: "Poll: Marco Rubio pulls ahead of Jeb Bush in Florida; Hillary Clinton in trouble."

But Hillary did not get a mention until get a mention until Paragraph 6, and Trump -- who led the poll among Republicans -- was not mentioned until Paragraph 3.

To me, it is news that Trump's share of the vote in the Florida Atlantic University Poll -- 31.5% -- is as large as Rubio (19.2%) and Jeb (11.3%) combined. Trump actually is a full point above them.

From the story:
"Marco Rubio being that far ahead of Jeb Bush is surprising," said Kevin Wagner, an associate professor of political science at FAU and a research fellow at the university's Business and Economics Polling Initiative. "Some of the early Florida polling suggested that Bush was in a stronger position."
Republican Bush isn't the only one receiving bad news from the poll.
Hillary Clinton, the frontrunner for the Democratic presidential nomination, is far ahead of Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders. But the survey shows she'd lose to Rubio, Bush and Ben Carson and tie with Trump in hypothetical 2016 general election matchups.
That confirms Florida's status as the most important swing state in the presidential election — it could go either way and it awards more than 10 percent of the 270 electoral votes needed to win the presidency.
The survey was conducted by the Florida Atlantic University Business and Economics Polling Initiative in the College of Business. Polling, conducted from Sept. 17- 20, started the day after the Republican presidential debate at the Ronald Reagan Presidential Library in California.
FAU provided results to the Sun Sentinel on Tuesday.
On the Republican side, Trump had 31.5 percent of the Republican primary vote. Rubio was second with 19.2 percent and Bush was third with 11.3 percent.
Carson, the retired neurosurgeon who lives in West Palm Beach, was in fourth place with 10.3 percent.
The Florida Republican Party set up a winner-take-all primary in an effort to help a state resident -- former Governor Bus or current U.S. Senator Rubio. But the real beneficiary right now looks to be Trump, who owns Mar-a-Lago.

Anyway, I think the reporter got so sucked into The Narrative that he missed the story. Meanwhile the candidate I back, Carly, is moving up from the back of the pack. I get a Richard Petty vibe off this.

That Other Donald is Dale. He won a few races too.

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